Eduardo Rodriguez (8-5, 4.25 ERA) and Jerad Eickhoff (1-2, 2.84 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Boston Red Sox (62-72) and the Philadelphia Phillies (53-82) at Fenway Park. The Red Sox won the last game 9-2 and Boston leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 6 and can be seen on CSPh and NESN.
Rodriguez pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one, striking out four and walking three in a 4-3 win over the Yankees. Mookie Betts (.277, 69 Rs, 13 HRs, 65 RBIs, 17 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with two runs and one RBI. Eickhoff went 7.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out four and walking two in a 3-1 defeat to the Mets in his last outing.
This one isn't expected to be close when Boston, a substantial -210 favorite, takes on Philadelphia. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at nine runs for this matchup. The Red Sox have an overall money line of -1,362 and a record as the favorite of 35-39. Boston is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 6-4 SU record in its last ten outings. The Red Sox have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the AL in offense with 4.5 runs per game. The Red Sox are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with an impressive 9.2 per game. Boston's batters do not strike out very often, with only 6.9 per game.
In the other locker room, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -648 and a disappointing record of 48-75 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 3-7 record, and a 3-7 record SU. Offensively, the Phillies have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.9 runs per game by averaging 5.3 during that stretch. The Phillies are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the NL with 8.9 hits per road game. The Phillies allow 5.1 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.4 runs per game during that span.
The Red Sox lead the season series, 3-1. The Red Sox have a 46-51 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Eickhoff takes the mound. Rodriguez (LHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have a 13-17 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Bos, O/U - Over
Boston earned its sixth shutout of the season in its last game. Philadelphia has been shut out 11 times this season.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Red Sox are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Phillies have a 5-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 13-60. The Phillies have an 18-62 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks near the bottom of the league at 28th when it comes to home runs, hitting 106 this season. Boston ranks in the top half at 15th with 130.
Ranking sixth, Philadelphia is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.69 per game. Boston ranks in the top five at third with 9.21.
Ranking 26th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.693). Boston ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .740.
The Phillies are 25-61 when they allow at least one home run. The Red Sox perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 31-59 record.