Dallas Keuchel (16-6, 2.24 ERA) gets the ball for the Houston Astros (74-62) as they meet Tyler Duffey (2-1, 4.56 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (70-65) in the last of a three-game series at Minute Maid Park. The Twins won the last game 3-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 6 and will air on FSN and RTSW.
In his last start, Keuchel pitched 7.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out eight and walking one in an 8-3 victory over the Mariners. Carlos Correa (.279, 38 Rs, 16 HRs, 46 RBIs, 11 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 4. The Twins were unsuccessful to the White Sox 8-6 the last time Duffey pitched. He went 4.2 innings, allowing three runs, striking out two and walking three. Eddie Rosario (.271, 47 Rs, 9 HRs, 39 RBIs, 10 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two RBIs.
Houston is a heavy -240 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at seven runs. The Astros are 44-33 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +653. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking third in all of baseball with 101 steals. Houston's pitching staff can be considered for best in its league, with an AL-low 3.28 team ERA. The Astros don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking second in the league with a 1.18 WHIP. An area where the Astros are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 7.8 K's per game.
On the other side, the Twins have a record of 53-54 when they are the underdog and are +1,813 overall with the money line.
The Twins are 3-2 against the Astros this season. The Astros will take on a right-hander (Duffey) in this game and have a 48-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Twins will be the left-hander Keuchel. They sport a 25-21 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - Hou, O/U - Over
The Twins won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Astros are 19-22. The Twins are 20-18 in close games this season.
The Astros are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Twins have a 31-44 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Twins are 15-56. The Astros have a 13-43 record when opponents outhit them.
Minnesota ranks in the bottom half of the league at 17th when it comes to home runs, hitting 127 this season. Houston ranks in the top five at second with 183.
Houston and Minnesota both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Houston sits at 15th with 8.16 hits per game and Minnesota ranks 13th with 8.34.
Ranking 24th, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.704). Houston ranks in the top 10 at 10th with an OPS of .732.
When the Twins allow at least one home run, they are 38-51. When the Astros allow one or more homers, they have a 26-42 record.