Hector Santiago (7-9, 3.37 ERA) and the Los Angeles Angels (68-67) meet Colby Lewis (14-7, 4.50 ERA) and the Texas Rangers (71-63) in the last of a three-game division series at Angel Stadium. The Rangers won the last game 2-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 3:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 6 and will air on FSW and FSSW.
In his last start, Santiago pitched 2.2 innings, giving up five runs, striking out four and walking three in an 11-5 loss to the Athletics. Mike Trout (.297, 87 Rs, 33 HRs, 74 RBIs, 10 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. The Rangers were unsuccessful to the Padres 7-0 the last time Lewis pitched. He went 5.2 innings, allowing five runs (one unearned), striking out two and walking two. Mitch Moreland (.289, 41 Rs, 18 HRs, 68 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well for the Rangers, going 2 for 3 yesterday.
Los Angeles is a -126 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Angels perform well as a favorite with a 50-29 record, but haven't fared as well with the overall money line (-444). They have SU record of 5-5 and are unbeaten as the favorite (4-0) over their last 10 games. Los Angeles has averaged 4.5 runs per game during divisional play, higher than its season average of 4.0. The Angels are a dangerous hitting team with 350 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. They typically aren't overmatched by pitchers, ranking fifth in the AL with an average of only 7.1 strikeouts per game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Angels don't give up many hits to opposing batters at Angel Stadium, ranking fifth in the AL with only 8.1 hits allowed per home game.
Moving on to the away team, the Rangers come into this game with a win percentage of .514 when playing as the underdog (54-51) and an overall money line of +2,345. Against teams in their division, they are 20-30 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 16-26 record. Playing against AL West foes really brings the worst out of the Texas pitchers. They allow 5.2 runs per game against teams within their division, which is higher than their season average of 4.6.
The Angels have gotten the best of the Rangers in head-to-head matchups this season, going 9-5. The Angels will take on a right-hander (Lewis) in this game and have a 48-50 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Santiago will take the mound against the Rangers, who have a 23-24 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAA, O/U - Over
The Angels are 31-25 against their divisional rivals, while the Rangers are 21-30 against their division.
Texas has won 46% (26-31) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Los Angeles has won 63% (34-20) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Rangers are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Angels have a 25-43 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Angels are 48-15. The Rangers have a 53-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th in runs, Los Angeles has earned 541 this season. Texas ranks eighth with 591 runs.
Ranking 20th, Los Angeles is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 368 this season. Texas ranks in the top half at 15th with 391.
The Angels are 53-32 when they hit at least one home run. The Rangers perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 53-26 record.