In the first of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (75-59) and the Baltimore Orioles (65-70) at Yankee Stadium, Michael Pineda (10-8, 4.07 ERA) and Wei-Yin Chen (8-7, 3.36 ERA) take the mound. The game gets underway at 1:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 7 and will air on YES, MASN and ESPN.
In his last start, Pineda pitched 6.0 innings, allowing one run and striking out seven in a 3-1 victory over the Red Sox. The Orioles were unsuccessful the last time Chen pitched. He struggled, going 4.2 innings, allowing five runs and striking out four in a 6-3 loss to the Rays. Chris Davis (.255, 79 Rs, 40 HRs, 100 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.
New York is a -156 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Yankees perform well as a favorite with a 50-31 record and have an overall money line of +370. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (6-2). Over their past 10 games, New York's offense has been playing lights out, averaging 6.7 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.9. The Yankees typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.4 walks per game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, they have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 8.4 strikeouts per game.
Switching gears, the Orioles come into this game with a weak win percentage of .393 when playing as the underdog (24-37) and an overall money line of -1,016. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 3-7 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 2-5 record. Baltimore is one of the top home-run-hitting teams in the league with 177 home runs. Baltimore's pitching staff has allowed an average of 5.4 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.1.
The Yankees have gotten the best of the Orioles in head-to-head matchups this season, going 8-5. The Yankees will take on a left-hander (Chen) in this game and have a 23-16 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Pineda will take the mound against the Orioles, who have a 48-52 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
The Yankees hold a 31-24 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Orioles' record in these matchups is 28-27.
When leading after 7 innings, Baltimore is 24-22, while New York is 31-34.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Orioles are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Yankees have a 2-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 47-13. The Yankees have a 50-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 11th, Baltimore sits in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 587 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 653.
Ranking 25th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 324 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 455.
The Yankees are 64-34 when they hit at least one home run. The Orioles perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 58-36 record.