In the first of a three-game series between the Detroit Tigers (62-74) and the Tampa Bay Rays (67-69) at Comerica Park, Randy Wolf (0-3, 6.11 ERA) and Drew Smyly (2-2, 3.11 ERA) get the start. The game gets underway at 1:08 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 7 and will air on SUN and FSDT.
In his most recent outing, Wolf pitched 3.2 innings, allowing eight runs, striking out two and walking three in a 12-1 loss to the Royals. The Rays were victorious the last time Smyly pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 7.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out 10 and walking one in an 11-2 victory over the Orioles. Logan Forsythe (.290, 60 Rs, 15 HRs, 54 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Detroit is a +122 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Tigers have a losing record of 28-45 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -1,038. They are 2-7 as the underdog over their last 10 games. The Tigers will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In the last 10 games, Detroit has only averaged 3.2 runs per game compared to the 4.4 they've averaged on the season. Detroit's pitching staff will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent struggles. The Tigers have given up an average of 7.1 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 5.0 runs per game.
Across the field, the Rays have a record of 32-29 when they are favored and are -312 overall with the money line.
The Rays are 2-1 against the Tigers this season. This game will feature Smyly (LHP) on the mound against the Tigers, who have an 18-15 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The left-handed Wolf will take the mound against the Rays. Against lefty starters this season, they've racked up an impressive 24-14 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Under
Detroit has won 46% (28-33) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Tampa Bay has won 48% (27-29) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Rays managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Tigers who are heading in with a 13-12 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 47-21. The Tigers have a 52-17 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th in runs, Tampa Bay has earned 515 this season. Detroit ranks 10th with 588 runs.
Detroit and Tampa Bay both rank in the bottom half of the league in walks. Detroit sits at 17th with 374 this season and Tampa Bay ranks 18th with 373.
The Tigers are 46-34 when they hit at least one home run. The Rays perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 49-38 record.