Aaron Harang (5-14, 4.89 ERA) and Williams Perez (4-6, 5.65 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (53-84) and the Atlanta Braves (54-83) at Citizens Bank Park. The Braves come into this series hoping to snap a 12-game losing streak. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 7 and can be seen on CSPh and SPSO.
Harang pitched 4.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out four and walking one in a 14-8 defeat to the Mets. Perez went 5.0 innings, surrendering four runs (two unearned) and walking one in a 7-3 defeat to the Marlins in his last outing. Juan Uribe (.249, 35 Rs, 13 HRs, 38 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
Philadelphia is a -134 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Phillies have an overall money line of -748 and a record as the favorite of 5-7. Within their division, Philadelphia has a notable 3-2 record as the favorite but a 22-33 SU. The Phillies have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.9 runs per game. Philadelphia's batters do not strike out very often, with only 7.6 per game. Philadelphia's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.7 runs per game, well above its season average of 5.1.
As for their opponent, Atlanta is coming in with an overall money line of -1,894 and a disappointing record of 40-68 as the underdog. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They were winless, managing a 0-7 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, the Braves have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.6 runs per game by averaging 2.3 during that stretch. The Braves have a dynamic offense, leading the league with 318 extra base hits. Atlanta is excellent at not striking out with an NL-low 6.9 per game. The Braves allow 4.8 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 9.0 runs per game during that span.
The Phillies lead the season series, 7-6. The Phillies have a 40-65 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Perez takes the mound. Harang (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 45-65 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Phi, O/U - Under
The Phillies hold a 22-33 record this season against teams in the NL East Division. The Braves' record in these matchups is 25-32.
When leading after 7 innings, Philadelphia is 27-39, while Atlanta is 23-43.
The Braves managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Phillies who are heading in with a 15-14 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 37-18. The Phillies have a 31-15 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta sits at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 488 this season. Philadelphia ranks near the bottom at 27th with 529.
Ranking 26th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 319 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 11th with 403.
The Phillies are 35-39 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Braves are 32-30 when they hit at least one homer.