In the first of a four-game series between the Seattle Mariners (66-71) and the Texas Rangers (71-64) at Safeco Field, Roenis Elias (4-7, 4.35 ERA) and Yovani Gallardo (11-9, 3.27 ERA) take the mound. The Mariners enter this series looking to continue a five-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 6:40 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 7 and will air on RTNW and FSSW.
In his last start, Elias pitched 5.1 innings, giving up four runs, striking out four and walking four in a 7-5 loss to the Astros. Welington Castillo (.251, 39 Rs, 18 HRs, 46 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. The Rangers were unsuccessful the last time Gallardo pitched. He struggled, going 5.0 innings, allowing four runs, striking out two and walking one in an 8-6 loss to the Padres. Mitch Moreland (.289, 41 Rs, 18 HRs, 68 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well for the Rangers, going 2 for 3 yesterday.
Seattle is a small +101 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. When playing as the underdog, the Mariners have a 27-30 record and overall money line at -1,275. They have an SU record of 30-26 against teams in their division and a 13-11 record when they were the underdog in those games. Seattle has averaged 6.1 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.0. The Mariners typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.0 walks per game.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Rangers come into this game with a win percentage of .571 when playing as the favorite (16-12) and an overall money line of +2,448. Over the last 10 games, they were unbeaten as the favorite with a perfect 3-0 record and 7-3 SU. The Rangers rank fifth in the AL in scoring, averaging 4.4 runs per game. The Rangers are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 4.04 ERA on the road this season.
The Mariners have gotten the best of the Rangers in head-to-head matchups this season, going 8-4. The Mariners will take on a right-hander (Gallardo) in this game and have a 48-45 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Rangers will be the left-hander Elias. They sport a 23-25 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tex, O/U - Over
The Mariners are 31-26 against their divisional rivals, while the Rangers are 21-31 against their division.
The Mariners are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Rangers have a 26-37 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Rangers are 16-48. The Mariners have an 18-47 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 13th in home runs, Texas has hit 137 this season. Seattle ranks fifth with 166 home runs.
Seattle and Texas both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Seattle sits at 10th with 8.55 hits per game and Texas ranks seventh with 8.73.
Seattle and Texas both rank in the top half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Seattle sits at 14th with an OPS of .723 and Texas ranks 12th with an OPS of .729.
The Rangers are 35-48 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Mariners are 34-58 when they allow at least one homer.