Anthony DeSclafani (7-10, 3.87 ERA) and Jeff Locke (7-9, 4.66 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (56-79) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (81-54) at the Great American Ball Park. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 7 and can be seen on FSOH and RTPT.
DeSclafani pitched 5.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 5-4 defeat to the Cubs. Joey Votto (.318, 85 Rs, 27 HRs, 70 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with two runs. Locke went 3.2 innings, surrendering five runs and striking out two in a 9-4 defeat to the Brewers in his most recent start.
Pittsburgh takes on Cincinnati as a -134 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Reds have recorded an overall money line of -2,146 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 28-54. Within its division, Cincinnati has a 7-8 as the underdog and a 26-31 SU. The Reds have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game. The Reds are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits at home with an impressive 8.8 per game. Cincinnati leads the MLB in steals, swiping 120 bases. As for the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Reds, who rank fifth in the NL in strikeouts per home game with 8.3.
In the other locker room, Pittsburgh is coming in with an overall money line of +1,528 and an impressive record of 63-32 as the favorite. They have played poorly as the favorite with a 16-18 record against NL Central rivals, and a 5-5 record SU. Offensively, they average 4.2 runs per game, which is good for fifth in the NL. The Pirates are tough outs for opponents, ranking third in the NL with 9.2 hits per road game. Pittsburgh's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.23 ERA.
The Reds have controlled the season series, 9-4. The Reds have a 12-19 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Locke takes the mound. DeSclafani (RHP) will be on the hill against the Pirates, who have a 65-41 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Pit, O/U - Over
The Reds are 26-31 against their divisional rivals, while the Pirates are 23-33 against their division.
The Reds are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Pirates have a 17-25 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 8-57. The Pirates have an 18-41 record when opponents outhit them.
Pittsburgh ranks near the bottom of the league at 21st when it comes to home runs, hitting 117 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 144.
Ranking eighth, Cincinnati is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.61 per game. Pittsburgh ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.04.
Ranking 18th, Cincinnati is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.717). Pittsburgh ranks in the top half at 15th with an OPS of .722.
When the Pirates allow at least one home run, they are 33-33. When the Reds allow one or more homers, they have a 26-62 record.