Masahiro Tanaka (11-6, 3.73 ERA) and the New York Yankees (76-59) go up against Kevin Gausman (2-6, 4.59 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (65-71) in the second of a three-game division series at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won the last game 8-6 and New York leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Sep. 8 and will air on YES and MASN.
In his last start, Tanaka pitched 6.1 innings, allowing four runs, striking out five and walking one in a 13-8 victory over the Red Sox. Alex Rodriguez (.257, 73 Rs, 28 HRs, 76 RBIs, 3 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. The Orioles were unsuccessful the last time Gausman pitched. He tossed 2.1 innings, allowing three runs (one unearned), striking out one and walking two in a 7-6 loss to the Rays. Chris Davis (.256, 79 Rs, 40 HRs, 100 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
New York is a -168 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Yankees have a winning record of 50-31 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +476. They are 6-2 as the favorite over their last 10 games. New York has averaged 7.2 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.9. They have been very patient at the plate, ranking second in the AL with an average of 3.4 walks per game. Turning to the pitching staff, they have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 8.4 strikeouts per game.
Across the field, the Orioles have a subpar record of 24-38 when they are the underdog and are -1,116 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 2-8 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-6 record. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Baltimore pitchers. They allowed 5.9 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 4.2.
The Yankees have mostly come out on top against the Orioles in their previous 13 games this season, earning an 8-5 record. This game will feature Gausman (RHP) on the mound against the Yankees, who have a 53-43 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Orioles will be the right-hander Tanaka. They sport a 48-53 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
This season, the Orioles hold an even 28-28 record against AL East teams. The Yankees sit at 32-24 against these opponents.
New York has won 48% (32-34) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Baltimore has won 52% (24-22) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Orioles are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Yankees have a 3-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 47-13. The Yankees have a 50-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking eighth, Baltimore sits in the top 10 of the league in runs, scoring 591 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 659.
Ranking 25th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 329 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fourth with 460.
The Yankees are 65-34 when they hit at least one home run. The Orioles perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 58-37 record.