Henry Owens (2-2, 5.87 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (65-72) meet R.A. Dickey (10-10, 4.09 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (78-59) in the second of a three-game division series at Fenway Park. The Red Sox won the last game 11-4 and Boston leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Sep. 8 and will air on NESN and RSN.
In his most recent outing, Owens pitched 1.2 innings, allowing seven runs, striking out two and walking two in a 13-8 loss to the Yankees. David Ortiz (.270, 63 Rs, 31 HRs, 87 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. The Blue Jays were victorious the last time Dickey pitched. He pitched well, going 9.0 innings, giving up one run and striking out six in a 5-1 victory over the Indians. Josh Donaldson (.306, 107 Rs, 37 HRs, 115 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Blue Jays, going 3 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and one RBI.
Boston is a +130 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at nine runs. The Red Sox are 27-33 as the underdog and have an overall money line of -1,162. They have disappointing records of 10-15 as the underdog and 21-32 SU within their division. The Red Sox are an exceptional hitting team with an AL-best 10.1 hits per home game. They typically aren't overmatched by pitchers, ranking third in the AL with an average of only 6.9 strikeouts per game. Boston's pitchers struggle within their division. The Red Sox have given up an average of 5.5 runs to intra-division opponents, well over their defense's season average of 4.8.
On the other side, the Blue Jays have a nice record of 59-30 when they are favored and are +865 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 7-3 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 7-3 record. They sport the top-ranked offense in the AL, averaging 5.5 runs per game. One of the top hitting teams in the AL are the Blue Jays, who average 9.0 hits per game. The Blue Jays average 3.4 walks per game, making them the most disciplined team in the AL. Shifting to the pitching staff, they allow just 2.5 walks per game, best in the AL.
The Red Sox will take on a right-hander (Dickey) in this game and have a 48-51 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Owens will take the mound against the Blue Jays, who have a 19-12 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tor, O/U - Over
The Red Sox are 22-32 against their divisional rivals, while the Blue Jays are 29-25 against their division.
The Red Sox are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 11 runs. The Blue Jays have a 0-5 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 14-60. The Blue Jays have a 13-47 record when opponents outhit them.
Toronto tops the league in home runs with 191 this season. Boston ranks in the top half at 15th with 134.
Boston and Toronto both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Boston sits at third with 9.24 hits per game and Toronto ranks fourth with 9.01.
Toronto tops the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage of .791 this season. Boston ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .746.
When the Blue Jays allow at least one home run, they are 44-42. When the Red Sox allow one or more homers, they have a 32-59 record.