Runs may be hard to come by in this one as Sonny Gray (12-7, 2.36 ERA) and the Oakland Athletics (59-79) meet Scott Kazmir (7-9, 2.50 ERA) and the Houston Astros (75-63) in the second of a three-game series at O.co Coliseum. The Athletics won the last game 10-9 and Oakland leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 10:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Sep. 8 and will air on CSCA and RTSW.
In his last start, Gray pitched 5.0 innings, allowing six runs, striking out two and walking one in a 9-4 loss to the Angels. The Astros were unsuccessful to the Mariners 8-3 the last time Kazmir pitched. He went 4.1 innings, giving up two runs (one unearned), striking out five and walking two. Carlos Correa (.281, 39 Rs, 17 HRs, 50 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and four RBIs.
Oakland is a small -110 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Athletics have a 32-36 record and overall money line at -2,876. They have disappointing records of 16-17 as the favorite and 26-32 SU within their division. Oakland has averaged 4.7 runs per game during divisional play, higher than its season average of 4.2. Oakland's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.2 during that span, compared to its 4.2 season average. The Athletics are fourth in the AL in hits allowed with just 8.3 per game.
Switching gears, the Astros come into this game with a win percentage of .517 when playing as the underdog (30-28) and an overall money line of +573. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 5-5 SU and have an unblemished 1-0 record when they were an underdog to win. The Astros are known for their power, smashing 188 home runs. Houston is a terror on the base paths, ranking third in the MLB with 103 stolen bases. Shifting to the pitching staff, they have the lowest ERA in the AL at 3.29. They have a WHIP of 1.18 on the year, good for second in the league.
This game will feature Kazmir (LHP) on the mound against the Athletics, who have a 12-28 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Astros will be the right-hander Gray. They sport a 49-41 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - Hou, O/U - Over
The Athletics are 27-32 against their divisional rivals, while the Astros are 29-26 against their division.
Oakland has won 43% (26-34) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Houston has won 58% (31-22) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Houston batters brought in a solid 11 hits last game. Oakland has a record of 4-31 when their opponents get that many hits or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Athletics are 44-21. The Astros have a 54-17 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 14th, Oakland is in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 578 this season. Houston ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 605.
Ranking 16th, Oakland is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 393 this season. Houston ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 412.
The Athletics are 38-39 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Astros are 62-38 when they hit at least one homer.