In the last of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (53-85) and the Atlanta Braves (55-83) at Citizens Bank Park, David Buchanan (2-7, 9.00 ERA) and Julio Teheran (9-7, 4.51 ERA) get the start. The Phillies won the last game 5-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 9 and will air on CSPh and SPSO.
In his last start, Buchanan pitched 1.2 innings, giving up 11 runs, striking out one and walking two in a 13-1 loss to the Diamondbacks. The Braves were unsuccessful the last time Teheran pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 6.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out four and walking four in a 5-2 loss to the Nationals. Freddie Freeman (.283, 55 Rs, 16 HRs, 52 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Philadelphia, a +120 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Atlanta. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at eight runs. The Phillies have a losing record of 48-77 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -957. They have disappointing records of 19-31 as the underdog and 22-34 SU within their division. The Phillies are a dangerous hitting team with 377 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. Whenever an NL East opponent shows up on the calendar, the Phillies pitch better. They allow an average of 5.2 runs per game, but allow just 4.6 against teams from their own division.
On the other side, the Braves have a record of 14-14 when they are favored and are -1,894 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 1-9 SU and have a poor 0-2 record when they were the favorite. The Braves are known for their bats, hitting a league-leading 324 extra base hits. The Braves average just 6.9 strikeouts per game, good for least in the NL. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Atlanta pitchers. They allowed 7.9 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 4.8.
This game will feature Teheran (RHP) on the mound against the Phillies, who have a 40-66 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Braves will be the left-hander Buchanan. Southpaw starters have been a big issue for them as they sport records of 4-9 on the road and 9-17 overall.
Predictions: SU Winner - Atl, O/U - Under
The Phillies are struggling at 22-34 in their division, while the Braves are 26-32.
When leading after 7 innings, Philadelphia is 27-39, while Atlanta is 23-43.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Braves are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Phillies have a 5-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 31-15. The Braves have a 38-18 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta sits at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 495 this season. Philadelphia ranks near the bottom at 27th with 531.
Ranking 28th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 319 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 11th with 406.
When the Phillies hit at least one home run, they are 35-40. When the Braves hit at least one homer, they have a 33-30 record.