Jacob deGrom (12-7, 2.40 ERA) takes the mound for the New York Mets (77-61) as they meet Stephen Strasburg (8-6, 4.35 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (71-67) in the last of a three-game series at Nationals Park. The Mets won the last game 8-7 and New York leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 9 and will air on MAS2, SNY and ESPN.
In his most recent outing, Strasburg pitched 4.0 innings, allowing four runs and striking out three in a 7-4 loss to the Marlins. Ryan Zimmerman (.249, 43 Rs, 16 HRs, 73 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run. The Mets were unsuccessful to the Marlins 6-5 the last time deGrom pitched. He went 6.0 innings, giving up three runs and striking out four. Yoenis Cespedes (.297, 94 Rs, 31 HRs, 95 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run and three RBIs.
Washington, a -119 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against New York. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Nationals have a 58-42 record and overall money line at -1,239. They are 7-2 as the favorite over their last 10 games. Washington has averaged 6.7 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.4. Washington's pitchers are doing better against opposing batters during divisional games, only allowing an average of 3.4 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.0. The Nationals are the best in the NL in walks allowed, giving up just 2.2 per game.
Across the field, the Mets have a subpar record of 17-37 when they are the underdog, but are +1,038 overall with the money line. Over the last 10 games, they were unbeaten as the underdog with a perfect 1-0 record and 5-5 SU. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.3 runs per game, above their 4.2 season average. New York's pitching staff has allowed an average of 4.7 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 3.7. They have a WHIP of 1.18 on the year, good for tops in the league. The New York pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.1 strikeouts per game.
The Mets have mostly come out on top against the Nationals in their previous 15 games this season, earning a 9-6 record. This game will feature deGrom (RHP) on the mound against the Nationals, who have a 53-50 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Mets will be the right-hander Strasburg. They sport a 59-48 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - Was, O/U - Over
The Mets sit at 39-20 against their divisional rivals, while the Nationals are 33-23.
Washington has won 52% (34-31) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 58% (31-22) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Mets are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 12 strikeouts. The Nationals have a record of 5-8 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Nationals are 11-56. The Mets have a 16-50 record when opponents outhit them.
Tied at ninth for total home runs, Washington and New York have each hit 149 homers this season.
Ranking 12th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.42 per game. Washington ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 8.53.
Ranking 22nd, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.712). Washington ranks in the top 10 at 10th with an OPS of .733.
The Mets are 36-44 when they allow at least one home run. The Nationals perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 30-42 record.