In the last of a three-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (57-80) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (82-55) at the Great American Ball Park, Keyvius Sampson (2-3, 6.68 ERA) and J.A. Happ (8-7, 3.90 ERA) get the ball. The Pirates won the last game 7-3 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 9 and will air on FSOH and RTPT.
In his most recent outing, Sampson pitched 3.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out three and walking three in a 7-3 loss to the Brewers. The Pirates were victorious the last time Happ pitched. He pitched well, going 7.0 innings, allowing zero runs and striking out eight in a 9-3 victory over the Cardinals. Jung Ho Kang (.288, 55 Rs, 14 HRs, 52 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and one RBI.
Cincinnati, a +124 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Pittsburgh. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at eight runs. The Reds have a losing record of 28-54 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -2,046. They have a 27-31 record SU and are 19-23 as the underdog within their division. Cincinnati has averaged 5.5 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.0. The Reds are an exceptional hitting team with 8.8 hits per home game, one of the highest marks in the NL. They have been a terror on the base paths, leading all of baseball with 120 steals. As for the pitching staff, they have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out at the Great American Ball Park, averaging 8.3 strikeouts per home game.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Pirates come into this game with a solid win percentage of .663 when playing as the favorite (63-32) and an overall money line of +1,528. Against divisional rivals, they are 23-34 SU and have played poorly as the favorite with a 16-18 record. They sport the fifth-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.2 runs per game. Pittsburgh is one of the top road hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.2 hits per contest. The Pirates are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.20 ERA this season.
The Reds have gotten the best of the Pirates in head-to-head matchups this season, going 10-5. This game will feature Happ (LHP) on the mound against the Reds, who have a 13-19 record when they take on a left-handed starter.
Predictions: SU Winner - Pit, O/U - Over
The Reds are 27-32 against their divisional rivals, while the Pirates are 24-34 against their division.
The Reds managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Pirates who are coming in with a 32-11 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 9-58. The Pirates have an 18-41 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 21st in home runs, Pittsburgh has hit 119 this season. Cincinnati ranks 11th with 144 home runs.
Ranking ninth, Cincinnati is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.60 per game. Pittsburgh ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.06.
Ranking 20th, Cincinnati is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.714). Pittsburgh ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .723.
The Pirates are 33-33 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Reds are 26-63 when they allow at least one homer.