Kris Medlen (3-1, 4.88 ERA) and Mike Pelfrey (6-9, 4.17 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Kansas City Royals (83-55) and the Minnesota Twins (71-67) at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. The Royals won the last game 4-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 9 and can be seen on FSKC and FSN.
Medlen pitched 5.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering seven runs, striking out three and walking one in a 12-1 defeat to the White Sox. Eric Hosmer (.311, 84 Rs, 14 HRs, 81 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and three RBIs. Pelfrey went 4.0 innings, surrendering seven runs and striking out five in an 8-0 defeat to the Astros in his most recent start. Brian Dozier (.240, 93 Rs, 27 HRs, 70 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Kansas City is a -165 favorite against Minnesota and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Royals have recorded an overall money line of +2,025 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 49-29. Kansas City has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 21-16 and 34-24 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Royals have no trouble scoring as they rank fourth in the AL in offense with 4.5 runs per game. The Royals are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with a phenomenal 9.3 per game. Kansas City is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 88 bases. Crossing over to the pitching and defensive side, it's been a struggle for opposing teams to score runs against the Royals. The 3.8 runs that Kansas City's pitchers allow per home game makes them the fourth-ranked AL staff at home. The Royals are the fifth-best team in the AL at limiting walks during home games, allowing only 2.6 walks per game to their opponents this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Minnesota has a 55-55 record and an overall money line of +2,058. They are 21-22 as the underdog against teams in their division, and 29-26 SU. When it comes to issuing walks, the Twins have the second-fewest in the AL with an average of just 2.5 walks allowed per game.
The Royals lead the season series, 9-6. The Royals have a great 31-14 record at home (56-31 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Pelfrey takes the mound. Medlen (RHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have a 46-44 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
The Royals hold a 35-24 record this season against teams in the AL Central Division. The Twins' record in these matchups is 29-27.
The Royals are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Twins have a 4-5 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they are outhit, the Royals are 12-46. The Twins have a 15-57 record when opponents outhit them.
Kansas City ranks near the bottom of the league at 26th when it comes to home runs, hitting 112 this season. Minnesota ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 131.
Ranking 13th, Minnesota is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.33 per game. Kansas City ranks in the top five at second with 9.29.
Ranking 24th, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.704). Kansas City ranks in the top 10 at eighth with an OPS of .737.
The Twins are 38-52 when they allow at least one home run. The Royals perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 38-40 record.