Kyle Lobstein (3-6, 5.02 ERA) and the Detroit Tigers (64-74) go up against Jake Odorizzi (6-8, 3.35 ERA) and the Tampa Bay Rays (67-71) in the last of a three-game series at Comerica Park. The Tigers won the last game 8-7 and Detroit leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 7:08 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 9 and will air on SUN and FSDT.
In his most recent outing, Lobstein pitched 4.1 innings, giving up six runs, striking out two and walking two in an 8-1 loss to the Indians. Miguel Cabrera (.351, 58 Rs, 17 HRs, 68 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run. The Rays were also unsuccessful the last time Odorizzi pitched. He struggled, going 6.2 innings, allowing five runs, striking out eight and walking two in a 5-2 loss to the Yankees. Logan Forsythe (.286, 61 Rs, 15 HRs, 55 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Detroit, a +124 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Tampa Bay. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at eight runs. The Tigers perform poorly as an underdog with a 29-45 record and have an overall money line of -1,060. Detroit has been struggling as of late. In the last 10 games, Detroit has only averaged 3.2 runs per game compared to the 4.3 they've averaged on the season. Detroit's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 7.7 during that span, compared to its 5.0 season average.
Across the field, the Rays have a record of 32-31 when they are favored and are -554 overall with the money line. One of the top road hitting teams in the AL are the Rays, who average 8.9 hits in games away from home. Switching gears to Tampa Bay's pitching staff, they have the third-lowest road ERA in the AL at 3.74.
The Tigers are 3-2 against the Rays this season. The Tigers will take on a right-hander (Odorizzi) in this game and have a 44-59 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Lobstein will take the mound against the Rays, who have a 24-15 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Under
In their last game, the Rays lost by a margin of one run. The Tigers are 22-18 in one-run games. The Rays have a 24-26 record in close games.
When leading after 7 innings, Tampa Bay is 27-30, while Detroit is 29-33.
The Rays are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Tigers have a 27-45 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 8-52. The Rays have a 13-42 record when opponents outhit them.
Tampa Bay ranks in the bottom half of the league at 16th when it comes to home runs, hitting 134 this season. Detroit ranks in the top half at 13th with 140.
Detroit ranks at the top of the league when it comes to hits with 9.39 per game this season. Tampa Bay ranks in the top half at 12th with 8.40.
Ranking 21st, Tampa Bay is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.713). Detroit ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .756.
The Rays are 31-54 when they allow at least one home run. The Tigers perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 31-58 record.