James Shields (10-6, 3.83 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (66-73) go up against Chris Rusin (5-7, 4.78 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (57-81) in the third of a four-game division series at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 2-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 9:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 9 and will air on RTRM and FSSD.
In his most recent outing, Shields pitched 5.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out four and walking six in an 8-4 loss to the Dodgers. Justin Upton (.255, 76 Rs, 24 HRs, 73 RBIs, 19 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. The Rockies were victorious the last time Rusin pitched. He went 9.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out five and walking one in an 11-3 victory over the Giants. Nolan Arenado (.286, 84 Rs, 37 HRs, 107 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
San Diego, a -159 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Colorado. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is seven runs. The Padres are 34-30 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -1,093. They are 2-5 as the favorite over their last 10 games. An area where the Padres are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average an NL-best 9.2 K's per home game.
Switching gears, the Rockies come into this game with a weak win percentage of .400 when playing as the underdog (40-60) and an overall money line of -1,453. Against divisional rivals, they are 23-35 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 17-26 record. The Rockies are the number one overall scoring offense in the NL, averaging 4.5 runs per game so far.
The Padres had the upper hand against the Rockies in their previous 14 games this season, earning a 10-4 record. The Padres will take on a left-hander (Rusin) in this game and have a 15-16 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Shields will take the mound against the Rockies, who have a 52-57 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
The Padres are 28-28 against other teams in their division, while the Rockies are 23-36 against their rivals.
Colorado has won 43% (26-35) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, San Diego has won 52% (35-32) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Rockies are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Padres have an 18-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rockies are 43-15. The Padres have a 50-15 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 20th, San Diego is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 566 this season. Colorado ranks in the top five at fourth with 621.
San Diego and Colorado both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. San Diego sits at 22nd with 356 this season and Colorado ranks 27th with 324.
When the Padres hit at least one home run, they are 46-29. When the Rockies hit at least one homer, they have a 48-47 record.