Jaime Garcia (8-4, 1.89 ERA) starts for the St. Louis Cardinals (88-51) as they square off against John Lamb (0-3, 6.11 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (57-81) in the first of a four-game series at the Great American Ball Park. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Sep. 10 and can be seen on FSOH and FSMW.
Lamb pitched 5.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering six runs, striking out four and walking two in an 8-6 defeat to the Brewers. Joey Votto (.316, 86 Rs, 27 HRs, 70 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run. Garcia went 7.0 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out nine and walking one in a 4-1 win over the Pirates in his most recent start. Matt Carpenter (.260, 83 Rs, 21 HRs, 72 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs and one RBI.
St. Louis takes on Cincinnati as a -155 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Reds have recorded an overall money line of -2,146 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 28-55. Within its division, Cincinnati has an 8-8 as the underdog and a 27-32 SU. The Reds have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.8 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game. Cincinnati leads the MLB in steals, swiping 120 bases. Turning to the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Reds, who rank fifth in the NL in strikeouts per home game with 8.3.
Over in the other dugout, St. Louis is coming in with an overall money line of +2,526 and an impressive record of 74-33 as the favorite. They have been playing solid baseball as favorite with a 27-14 record against teams in their division, and a 33-22 record SU. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is fifth in the NL. St. Louis is excellent at drawing walks with 3.1 per game, ranking fifth in the NL. St. Louis's pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an NL-low 2.79 ERA.
The Cardinals lead the season series, 8-4. The Reds have a 13-20 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Garcia takes the mound. Lamb (LHP) will be on the hill against the Cardinals, who have a 19-16 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - StL, O/U - Over
The Cardinals sit at 34-22 against their divisional rivals, while the Reds are 27-33.
When leading after 7 innings, St. Louis is 31-20, while Cincinnati is 18-32.
The Cardinals are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Reds have a 7-17 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 44-16. The Cardinals have a 53-15 record when outhitting opponents.
Cincinnati and St. Louis both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. Cincinnati sits at 25th with 554 runs this season and St. Louis ranks 21st with 560.
Cincinnati and St. Louis both rank in the top 10 of the league in walks. Cincinnati sits at eighth with 428 this season and St. Louis ranks seventh with 429.
When the Reds hit at least one home run, they are 48-38. When the Cardinals hit at least one homer, they have a 57-22 record.