Felix Hernandez (16-8, 3.65 ERA) and the Seattle Mariners (66-73) meet Derek Holland (3-1, 2.37 ERA) and the Texas Rangers (73-64) in the last of a four-game division series at Safeco Field. The Mariners won the last game 6-0 and Texas leads the series 2-1. The game gets underway at 3:40 p.m. ET on Thursday, Sep. 10 and will air on RTNW and FSSW.
In his last start, Hernandez pitched 8.0 innings, allowing three runs and striking out nine in an 8-3 victory over the Athletics. Nelson Cruz (.310, 77 Rs, 39 HRs, 82 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. The Rangers were victorious over the Angels 2-1 the last time Holland pitched. He went 8.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out five and walking two. Mitch Moreland (.287, 42 Rs, 19 HRs, 69 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Seattle, a -141 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Texas. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Mariners have a 39-42 record and overall money line at -1,388. They are 3-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. Seattle has averaged 5.8 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.0. The Mariners rank fifth in the majors in home runs with 167.
On the other side, the Rangers have a record of 56-52 when they are the underdog and are +2,551 overall with the money line. Against divisional foes, they are 23-31 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with an 18-27 record. They sport the fifth-ranked offense in the AL, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Texas has an eye for the strike zone, ranking 3.0 in the AL with fifth walks per game. The Rangers are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 4.04 ERA on the road this season.
The Mariners have mostly come out on top against the Rangers in their previous 14 games this season, earning an 8-6 record. This game will feature Holland (LHP) on the mound against the Mariners, who have an 18-27 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The right-handed Hernandez will take the mound against the Rangers, who have a 49-39 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Sea, O/U - Over
The Mariners are 31-28 against their divisional rivals, while the Rangers are 23-31 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, Texas is 28-31, while Seattle is 20-33.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Rangers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Mariners have a 10-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Rangers are 18-48. The Mariners have an 18-47 record when opponents outhit them.
Texas ranks in the top half of the league at 13th when it comes to home runs, hitting 141 this season. Seattle ranks in the top five at fifth with 167.
Seattle and Texas both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Seattle sits at 10th with 8.53 hits per game and Texas ranks eighth with 8.66.
Seattle and Texas both rank in the top half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Seattle sits at 14th with an OPS of .722 and Texas ranks 13th with an OPS of .729.
The Rangers are 36-48 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Mariners are 34-59 when they allow at least one homer.