Cody Anderson (3-3, 3.72 ERA) and Justin Verlander (3-7, 3.43 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a four-game series between the Cleveland Indians (69-70) and the Detroit Tigers (64-76) at Progressive Field. The Indians won the last game 7-5 and Cleveland leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Sep. 11 and can be seen on STOh and FSDT.
Anderson pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out three and walking two in a 4-0 win over the Tigers. Michael Brantley (.319, 65 Rs, 15 HRs, 81 RBIs, 14 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 5 with two runs, two home runs, and three RBIs. Verlander went 7.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out four and walking two in a 4-0 defeat to the Indians in his most recent start. J.D. Martinez (.280, 81 Rs, 36 HRs, 91 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Cleveland is a narrow -111 favorite at home against Detroit. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. The Indians have an overall money line of -1,283 and a record as the favorite of 45-42. Cleveland has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 13-24 and 22-33 as the favorite and SU respectively. The Indians are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits at home with a phenomenal 9.2 per game. Cleveland is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.4 per game. Cleveland's pitchers fall apart when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 4.6 against fellow AL Central members, compared to its 4.1 season average. The Indians are the fourth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.19 so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Indians, who lead the AL in strikeouts per game with 8.8.
In the other locker room, Detroit is coming in with an overall money line of -1,051 and a disappointing record of 30-46 as the underdog. Despite an underwhelming record as the underdog against AL Central foes (12-16), they pulled off an impressive 32-24 SU record. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is third in the AL. The Tigers are tough outs for opponents, leading the AL with 9.4 hits per road game. The Tigers allow 5.1 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 7.2 runs per game during that span.
The Tigers lead the season series, 10-6. The Indians have a 49-42 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Verlander takes the mound. Anderson (RHP) will be on the hill against the Tigers, who have a 45-60 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Cle, O/U - Over
The Indians are 23-33 against their divisional rivals, while the Tigers are 32-25 against their division.
The Indians are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Tigers have a record of 35-22 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
It looks like the Indians have a slight leg up on the Tigers, as the Indians have won their last two games while the Tigers have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Tigers are 53-18. The Indians have a 58-11 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st, Cleveland is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 570 this season. Detroit ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 606.
Ranking 17th, Detroit is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 383 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top five at fourth with 466.
The Indians are 51-28 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Tigers are 48-34 when they hit at least one homer.