Jerad Eickhoff (1-3, 4.70 ERA) and Dan Haren (9-9, 3.73 ERA) start in the fourth of a five-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (54-88) and the Chicago Cubs (82-58) at Citizens Bank Park. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep. 12 and can be seen on CSCh and CSPh.
Eickhoff pitched 4.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering six runs, striking out one and walking two in a 6-2 defeat to the Red Sox. Jeff Francoeur (.273, 32 Rs, 12 HRs, 43 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Haren went 7.0 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out five and walking two in a 9-0 win over the Cardinals in his most recent start. Kris Bryant (.271, 78 Rs, 24 HRs, 90 RBIs, 12 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
Chicago is favored (-210) over Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at nine runs. The Phillies have recorded an overall money line of -957 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 48-78. Philadelphia has recorded a disappointing 1-7 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. The Phillies are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 385. Philadelphia's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.6 runs per game, well above its season average of 5.1.
Over in the other dugout, Chicago is coming in with an overall money line of +1,061 and an impressive record of 58-33 as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 5-2 record, and a 7-3 record SU. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is fourth in the NL. The Cubs capitalize on their at-bats at a high percentage, leading the league with a .243 team batting average. Chicago's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.56 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Cubs are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.20 for the season. The Cubs have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.4 strikeouts per road game.
The Phillies lead the season series, 3-2. The Phillies have a 41-67 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Haren takes the mound. Eickhoff (RHP) will be on the hill against the Cubs, who have a 64-45 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ChC, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Chicago is 33-22, while Philadelphia is 27-41.
The Cubs are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Phillies have a 24-54 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 18-67. The Cubs have a 17-43 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks near the bottom of the league at 28th when it comes to home runs, hitting 109 this season. Chicago ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 156.
Ranking 15th, Chicago is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.17 per game. Philadelphia ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.63.
Ranking 28th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.687). Chicago ranks in the bottom half at 16th with an OPS of .722.
The Cubs are 39-38 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Phillies are 25-67 when they allow at least one homer.