In the second of a three-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (67-72) and the Kansas City Royals (83-56) at Camden Yards, Chris Tillman (9-11, 5.15 ERA) and Johnny Cueto (9-11, 3.24 ERA) get the ball. The Orioles won the last game 14-8 and Baltimore leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 1:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep. 12 and will air on FOX.
In his last start, Tillman pitched 3.0 innings, allowing six runs, striking out three and walking one in a 10-4 loss to the Blue Jays. Chris Davis (.260, 81 Rs, 41 HRs, 104 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 2 with two RBIs. The Royals were also unsuccessful the last time Cueto pitched. He did not do well, pitching 3.0 innings, giving up five runs, striking out four and walking two in a 7-5 loss to the White Sox. Lorenzo Cain (.312, 89 Rs, 14 HRs, 65 RBIs, 27 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one RBI.
Baltimore is a +109 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Orioles perform poorly as an underdog with a 26-39 record and have an overall money line of -943. The Orioles rank fourth in the majors in home runs with 184. Baltimore's pitching staff will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent struggles. The Orioles have given up an average of 5.8 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.2 runs per game. The Orioles don't give up many walks to opposing batters at Camden Yards, ranking fourth in the AL with only 2.4 walks allowed per home game.
On the other side, the Royals have a nice record of 50-30 when they are favored and are +1,938 overall with the money line. Kansas City is a terror on the base paths, ranking fifth in the MLB with 93 stolen bases. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Kansas City pitchers. They allowed 5.3 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 3.8. They also average just 8.4 hits allowed per game, fifth-best in the AL.
In their previous four games this season, the Royals have a 3-1 record. This game will feature Cueto (RHP) on the mound against the Orioles, who have a 49-54 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Tillman will take the mound against the Royals. Against righty starters this season, they've racked up an impressive 57-32 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
Baltimore earned its ninth shutout of the season in its last game. Kansas City has been shut out nine times this season.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Orioles are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Royals have a 6-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 11-53. The Royals have a 12-47 record when opponents outhit them.
Kansas City ranks near the bottom of the league at 25th when it comes to home runs, hitting 113 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top five at third with 184.
Ranking 11th, Baltimore is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.49 per game. Kansas City ranks in the top five at third with 9.26.
Baltimore and Kansas City both rank in the top 10 of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Baltimore sits at 10th with an OPS of .728 and Kansas City ranks seventh with an OPS of .736.
When the Royals allow at least one home run, they are 38-41, well-matched with the Orioles who are 39-52 when allowing at least one homer.