In the third of a four-game series between the Atlanta Braves (56-86) and the New York Mets (80-61) at Turner Field, Williams Perez (5-6, 5.42 ERA) and Noah Syndergaard (8-6, 3.31 ERA) get the start. The Mets won the last game 5-1, extending a five-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep. 12 and will air on FSSO and WPIX.
In his last start, Perez pitched 7.0 innings, allowing two runs and striking out seven in a 7-2 victory over the Phillies. Juan Uribe (.255, 37 Rs, 13 HRs, 41 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run and three RBIs. The Mets were unsuccessful to the Red Sox 5-4 the last time Syndergaard pitched. He went 6.2 innings, giving up four runs, striking out three and walking one. Yoenis Cespedes (.299, 96 Rs, 33 HRs, 100 RBIs, 7 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Mets, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
Atlanta is a heavy +176 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Braves have a losing record of 41-71 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -1,994. They are 1-7 as the underdog over their last 10 games. The Braves are a dangerous hitting team with an MLB-best 331 extra base hits. Atlanta's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.5 during that span, compared to its 4.8 season average.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Mets come into this game with a solid win percentage of .718 when playing as the favorite (61-24) and an overall money line of +1,338. Against teams in their division, they are 41-20 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 34-12 record. They sport the fifth-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.2 runs per game. Switching gears to New York's pitching staff, they have the fourth-lowest ERA in the NL at 3.44. They have a WHIP of 1.18 on the year, good for tops in the league.
The Mets have gotten the better of the Braves in head-to-head matchups this season, going 8-6. The Braves will take on a right-hander (Syndergaard) in this game and have a 47-68 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Mets will be the right-hander Perez. They sport a 62-48 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets hold a 42-20 record in matchups against NL East Division rivals, while the Braves currently sit at 27-35 in these games.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Braves are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Mets have a 32-4 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
It looks like the Mets have a slight leg up on the Braves, as the Mets have won their last five games while the Braves have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 39-18. The Mets have a 57-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th in runs, Atlanta has earned 506 this season. New York ranks 13th with 598 runs.
Ranking 11th, Atlanta is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 419 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 420.
The Braves are 34-31 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Mets are 54-26 when they hit at least one homer.