This game could be low scoring as Hector Santiago (8-9, 3.24 ERA) and the Los Angeles Angels (71-69) go up against Lance McCullers (5-5, 3.07 ERA) and the Houston Astros (76-65) in the second of a three-game series at Angel Stadium. The Angels won the last game 3-2 and Los Angeles leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 9:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep. 12 and will air on FSW and RTSW.
In his most recent outing, Santiago pitched 6.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out three and walking six in a 7-0 victory over the Rangers. The Astros were unsuccessful the last time McCullers pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 7.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out eight and walking two in a 3-2 loss to the Twins. Carlos Correa (.274, 40 Rs, 17 HRs, 51 RBIs, 12 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and one stolen base.
Los Angeles is a small underdog (+105) and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Angels have a losing record of 18-39 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -557. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the underdog (1-4). Los Angeles has averaged 4.5 runs per game during divisional play, higher than its season average of 4.0. The Angels rank third in the majors in extra base hits with 365.
Across the field, the Astros have a record of 46-35 when they are favored and are +428 overall with the money line. Against divisional foes, they are 30-27 SU and 14-18 as the favorite. Houston has been playing better lately, averaging 5.9 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.4. The Astros are known for their power, smashing 193 home runs. Houston is a terror on the base paths, ranking third in the MLB with 106 stolen bases. The Astros are a problem for opposing batters, sporting an AL-low 3.36 ERA this season. They have a WHIP of 1.18 on the year, good for second in the league.
The Astros have gotten the better of the Angels in head-to-head matchups this season, going 8-6. This game will feature McCullers (RHP) on the mound against the Angels, who have a 50-51 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The left-handed Santiago will take the mound against the Astros, who have a 26-22 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Hou, O/U - Over
The Angels are 33-25 against their divisional rivals, while the Astros are 30-28 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, Los Angeles is 34-21, while Houston is 32-22.
After a weak showing last week where they got in five hits, the Astros need to step it up. The Angels have a record of 27-5 when opponents get five hits or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Astros are 55-17. The Angels have a 51-15 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th in runs, Los Angeles has earned 563 this season. Houston ranks seventh with 618 runs.
Ranking 21st, Los Angeles is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 382 this season. Houston ranks in the top half at 11th with 419.
The Angels are 54-34 when they hit at least one home run. The Astros perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 63-39 record.