Raisel Iglesias (3-7, 4.18 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (59-81) go up against Michael Wacha (15-5, 2.96 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (88-53) in the last of a four-game division series at the Great American Ball Park. The Reds won the last game 5-1 and Cincinnati can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 13 and will air on FSMW.
In his last start, Iglesias pitched 3.0 innings, giving up five runs, striking out four and walking one in a 7-3 loss to the Pirates. The Cardinals were unsuccessful to the Cubs 8-5 the last time Wacha pitched. He went 4.0 innings, allowing six runs, striking out two and walking three. Matt Carpenter (.259, 83 Rs, 21 HRs, 72 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday.
Cincinnati is a +120 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Reds perform poorly as an underdog with a 29-56 record and have an overall money line of -2,124. They have an SU record of 28-33 against teams in their division and a 20-25 record when they were the underdog in those games. Cincinnati has averaged 6.0 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.1. They have been a terror on the base paths, leading all of baseball with 124 steals.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Cardinals come into this game with a solid win percentage of .685 when playing as the favorite (74-34) and an overall money line of +2,394. Against divisional rivals, they are 34-23 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 28-15 record. St. Louis has an eye for the strike zone, ranking 3.1 in the NL with fifth walks per game. Switching gears to St. Louis's pitching staff, they have the lowest ERA in the NL at 2.84.
The Cardinals have mostly come out on top against the Reds in their previous 14 games this season, earning an 8-6 record. The Reds will take on a right-hander (Wacha) in this game and have a 44-60 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Cardinals will be the right-hander Iglesias. Right-handed starters haven't been a big issue for them as they sport a 68-35 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - StL, O/U - Over
The Reds hold a 29-33 record this season against teams in the NL Central Division. The Cardinals' record in these matchups is 34-24.
When leading after 7 innings, St. Louis is 31-21, while Cincinnati is 19-32.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Cardinals are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Reds have an 8-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 10-59. The Cardinals have a 23-36 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 27th in home runs, St. Louis has hit 115 this season. Cincinnati ranks 11th with 149 home runs.
Cincinnati and St. Louis both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Cincinnati sits at eighth with 8.60 hits per game and St. Louis ranks sixth with 8.62.
Ranking 22nd, St. Louis is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.714). Cincinnati ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .717.
When the Cardinals allow at least one home run, they are 35-37. When the Reds allow one or more homers, they have a 27-64 record.