Wei-Yin Chen (8-7, 3.48 ERA) and Johnny Cueto (9-11, 3.24 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (68-73) and the Kansas City Royals (84-57) at Camden Yards. The Royals won the last game 14-6 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 8:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 13 and can be seen on ESPN.
Chen pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs (one unearned), striking out five and walking one in an 8-6 defeat to the Yankees. Manny Machado (.293, 86 Rs, 28 HRs, 71 RBIs, 17 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 2 with two runs. Cueto went 3.0 innings, surrendering five runs, striking out four and walking two in a 7-5 defeat to the White Sox in his most recent start. Ben Zobrist (.288, 69 Rs, 12 HRs, 51 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Kansas City takes on Baltimore as a -119 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Orioles have an overall money line of -837 and a record as the underdog of 27-39. The Orioles are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 190. Baltimore's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.0 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.2. The Orioles are the fourth-best team in the AL at limiting walks during home games, allowing only 2.4 walks per game to their opponents this season.
In the other locker room, Kansas City is coming in with an overall money line of +1,822 and an impressive record of 50-31 as the favorite. They played poorly as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 3-7 record, and a 3-7 record SU. The Royals are an excellent base stealing team with 93 stolen bases, ranking fifth in the MLB. The Royals allow 3.9 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.4 runs per game during that span.
The Royals lead the season series, 4-2. The Orioles have a 49-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Cueto takes the mound. Chen (LHP) will be on the hill against the Royals, who have a 26-24 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
Baltimore recorded at least two errors for the 13th time this season.
The Orioles managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Royals who are coming in with a 10-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 11-54. The Royals have a 12-48 record when opponents outhit them.
Kansas City ranks near the bottom of the league at 24th when it comes to home runs, hitting 118 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fourth with 190.
Ranking 10th, Baltimore is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.51 per game. Kansas City ranks in the top five at third with 9.26.
Baltimore and Kansas City both rank in the top 10 of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Baltimore sits at 10th with an OPS of .734 and Kansas City ranks seventh with an OPS of .740.
When the Royals allow at least one home run, they are 39-42, well-matched with the Orioles who are 40-53 when allowing at least one homer.