This game could be low scoring as Francisco Liriano (10-7, 3.28 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (85-56) go up against Taylor Jungmann (9-6, 2.87 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (62-80) in the last of a four-game series at PNC Park. The Pirates won the last game 10-2 and Pittsburgh leads the series 2-1. The game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 13 and will air on FSWI and RTPT.
In his most recent outing, Liriano pitched 6.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out 10 and walking one in a 7-3 victory over the Reds. Andrew McCutchen (.298, 85 Rs, 22 HRs, 91 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI. The Brewers were unsuccessful the last time Jungmann pitched. He did not do well, pitching 3.2 innings, allowing six runs, striking out three and walking two in a 6-4 loss to the Marlins. Ryan Braun (.290, 84 Rs, 25 HRs, 84 RBIs, 22 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Brewers, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Pittsburgh is a considerable -209 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is seven runs. The Pirates have a winning record of 66-33 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +1,653. They have a 26-35 record SU and are 19-19 as favorite within their division. The Pirates come into the game with the fourth-ranked scoring offense in the NL, averaging 4.3 runs per game. The Pirates are an exceptional hitting team with 9.1 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the NL. Pittsburgh's pitchers struggle within their division. The Pirates have given up an average of 4.3 runs to intra-division opponents, well over their defense's season average of 3.7.
Moving on to the away team, the Brewers come into this game with a win percentage of .419 when playing as the underdog (36-50) and an overall money line of -1,564. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the underdog as of late. They managed a 6-2 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 6-4. Milwaukee has been playing better lately, averaging 5.6 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.1. Milwaukee's pitching staff tends to perform well when they play division rivals. They've allowed an average of 4.1 runs per game against teams from the NL Central, lower than their season average of 4.5.
The Brewers have mostly come out on top against the Pirates in their previous 18 games this season, earning a 10-8 record. The Pirates will take on a right-hander (Jungmann) in this game and have a 69-43 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the left-hander Liriano. They sport a 19-15 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - Pit, O/U - Over
The Pirates hold a 27-35 record this season against teams in the NL Central Division. The Brewers' record in these matchups is 27-32.
The Pirates are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 10 runs. The Brewers have a 0-12 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
It looks like the Pirates have a slight leg up on the Brewers, as the Pirates have won their last two games while the Brewers have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 47-11. The Pirates have a 61-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 18th in runs, Milwaukee has earned 586 this season. Pittsburgh ranks 10th with 607 runs.
Ranking 23rd, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 363 this season. Pittsburgh ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 395.
When the Pirates hit at least one home run, they are 56-26, well-matched with the Brewers who are 48-32 when hitting one or more homers.