Masahiro Tanaka (11-6, 3.57 ERA) and R.A. Dickey (10-10, 4.01 ERA) take the hill in the last of a four-game series between the New York Yankees (77-63) and the Toronto Blue Jays (81-60) at Yankee Stadium. The Blue Jays won the last game 10-7 and Toronto can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. Action begins at 1:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 13 and can be seen on YES and RSN.
Tanaka pitched 8.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one run, striking out 10 and walking one in a 2-1 defeat to the Orioles. Alex Rodriguez (.254, 76 Rs, 31 HRs, 80 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Dickey went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out four and walking one in a 5-1 defeat to the Red Sox in his last outing. Jose Bautista (.252, 97 Rs, 35 HRs, 99 RBIs, 8 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with three runs, two home runs, and three RBIs.
New York is a -137 favorite against Toronto and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Yankees have recorded an overall money line of +52 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 51-34. Within its division, New York has a 21-15 record as favorite and a 33-28 record SU. The Yankees have no trouble scoring as they rank fourth in the AL in home offense with 4.8 runs per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Toronto has a 20-28 record and an overall money line of +938. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games while playing as the underdog, and have a 7-3 SU record over the same span. Offensively, they average 5.5 runs per game, which is tops in the AL. Toronto is excellent at drawing walks with an AL-best 3.4 per game.
The Blue Jays have controlled the season series, 10-4. The Yankees have a 53-46 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Dickey takes the mound. Tanaka (RHP) will be on the hill against the Blue Jays, who have a 61-48 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tor, O/U - Over
The Yankees are 33-28 against their divisional rivals, while the Blue Jays are 32-26 against their division.
New York has won 49% (33-35) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Toronto has won 60% (37-25) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Blue Jays are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Yankees have a 2-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Blue Jays are 13-48. The Yankees have a 17-49 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking first in home runs, Toronto has hit 201 this season. New York ranks third with 191 home runs.
New York and Toronto both rank in the top five of the league in hits. New York sits at fifth with 8.73 hits per game and Toronto ranks fourth with 9.04.
Toronto tops the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage of .794 this season. New York ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .754.
When the Blue Jays allow at least one home run, they are 47-43. When the Yankees allow one or more homers, they have a 40-49 record.