Andrew Heaney (6-3, 3.52 ERA) and Mike Fiers (7-10, 3.66 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Los Angeles Angels (72-69) and the Houston Astros (76-66) at Angel Stadium. The Angels won the last game 3-2 and Los Angeles leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 3:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 13 and can be seen on FSW and RTSW.
Heaney pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering five runs, striking out six and walking three in a 6-4 defeat to the Dodgers. Albert Pujols (.248, 73 Rs, 35 HRs, 83 RBIs, 4 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4. Fiers went 5.0 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out five and walking four in a 10-9 defeat to the Athletics in his last outing. Carlos Correa (.275, 41 Rs, 18 HRs, 52 RBIs, 12 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Los Angeles is a slim -108 favorite at home against Houston. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. Though the Angels have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-302), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 52-30. Los Angeles is an impressive 4-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Angels have seen an uptick in scoring against teams inside their division, averaging 4.5 runs per game. They average 4.0 runs per game on the season. The Angels are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 369. Los Angeles's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 2.9 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.1.
In games where it is the underdog, Houston has a 30-29 record and an overall money line of +153. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-1 record when playing as the underdog. The Astros can change the game with one swing of the bat, ranking second in the league with 195 home runs. The Astros are an excellent base stealing team with 106 stolen bases, ranking third in the MLB. Houston's pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an AL-low 3.34 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Astros are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.19 for the season.
The Astros lead the season series, 8-7. The Angels have a 51-51 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Fiers takes the mound. Heaney (LHP) will be on the hill against the Astros, who have a 26-23 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Hou, O/U - Over
The Angels are 34-25 against their divisional rivals, while the Astros are 30-29 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, Los Angeles is 35-21, while Houston is 32-23.
The Astros are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded two strikeouts. The Angels have a record of 3-1 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Astros are 13-46. The Angels have a 15-51 record when opponents outhit them.
Los Angeles ranks in the top half of the league at 12th when it comes to home runs, hitting 145 this season. Houston ranks in the top five at second with 195.
Los Angeles and Houston both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Los Angeles sits at 15th with 8.14 hits per game and Houston ranks 14th with 8.18.
Ranking 25th, Los Angeles is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.696). Houston ranks in the top 10 at 10th with an OPS of .735.
When the Astros allow at least one home run, they are 28-45. When the Angels allow one or more homers, they have a 37-55 record.