James Paxton (3-3, 3.70 ERA) and the Seattle Mariners (69-74) go up against Kyle Kendrick (5-12, 6.25 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (59-83) in the last of a three-game interleague series at Safeco Field. The Mariners won the last game 7-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 13 and will air on RTRM and RTNW.
In his most recent outing, Paxton pitched 4.2 innings, giving up three runs (one unearned), striking out four and walking one in a 5-3 loss to the Indians. Nelson Cruz (.311, 80 Rs, 41 HRs, 87 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. The Rockies were victorious the last time Kendrick pitched. He went 5.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out four and walking two in a 6-4 victory over the Padres.
Seattle, a -165 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Colorado. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. The Mariners are 41-43 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -1,279. They come into the game with concerning records of 4-9 as the favorite and 8-11 SU against the NL. Seattle has averaged 5.6 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.0. They have been very patient at the plate, ranking fifth in the AL with an average of 3.0 walks per game.
Across the field, the Rockies have a subpar record of 42-63 when they are the underdog and are -1,424 overall with the money line. Against AL opponents, they are 4-15 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 3-11 record. The Rockies rank second in the NL in scoring, averaging 4.5 runs per game. Colorado's pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play competition from the AL. They've allowed an average of 6.3 runs per game against teams from the AL, higher than their season average of 5.2.
The Mariners are 3-2 against the Rockies this season. This game will feature Kendrick (RHP) on the mound against the Mariners, who have a 48-47 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The left-handed Paxton will take the mound against the Rockies. Against lefty starters this season, they have a terrible 5-24 record overall and 2-12 on the road.
Predictions: SU Winner - Sea, O/U - Over
Seattle has won 40% (23-34) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Colorado has won 43% (28-37) of its games when taking a late lead.
After a weak showing last week where they got in four hits, the Rockies need to step it up. The Mariners have a record of 19-0 when opponents get four hits or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 44-20. The Rockies have a 44-15 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st in runs, Seattle has earned 575 this season. Colorado ranks sixth with 635 runs.
Ranking 26th, Colorado is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 333 this season. Seattle ranks in the top half at 11th with 422.
When the Mariners hit at least one home run, they are 59-43, well-matched with the Rockies who are 50-48 when hitting one or more homers.