This game could be low scoring as Patrick Corbin (5-3, 3.32 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (68-74) go up against Zack Greinke (16-3, 1.68 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (81-60) in the last of a three-game series at Chase Field. The Dodgers won the last game 9-5 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 13 and will air on FSAZ and SNLA.
In his last start, Corbin pitched 6.0 innings, giving up zero runs and striking out five in a 6-1 victory over the Giants. Paul Goldschmidt (.318, 88 Rs, 28 HRs, 99 RBIs, 21 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4. The Dodgers were victorious over the Angels 7-5 the last time Greinke pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing three runs and striking out five. Andre Ethier (.295, 49 Rs, 13 HRs, 44 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Dodgers, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Arizona is a +127 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Diamondbacks are 37-46 as the underdog and have an overall money line of -282. They have struggled as the underdog over their last 10 games, going 0-5. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking second in all of baseball with 119 steals. Below average play has been the norm lately for the Arizona pitchers. The Diamondbacks have given up an average of 5.5 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.4 runs per game.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Dodgers come into this game with a win percentage of .582 when playing as the favorite (71-51) and an overall money line of -608. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 5-1 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 7-3. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.2 runs per game, above their 4.2 season average. The Dodgers average 3.5 walks per game, making them the most disciplined team in the NL. Shifting to the pitching staff, they have a WHIP of 1.20 on the year, good for fourth in the league. The Los Angeles pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.6 strikeouts per game.
The Dodgers had the upper hand against the Diamondbacks in their previous 14 games this season, earning a 10-4 record. This game will feature Greinke (RHP) on the mound against the Diamondbacks, who have a 52-54 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The left-handed Corbin will take the mound against the Dodgers, who have a 15-14 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
The Dodgers hold a 36-22 record in matchups against NL West Division rivals, while the Diamondbacks currently sit at 29-30 in these games.
The Diamondbacks managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Dodgers who are coming in with a 46-22 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Diamondbacks are 13-49. The Dodgers have a 14-44 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 18th in home runs, Arizona has hit 133 this season. Los Angeles ranks sixth with 169 home runs.
Arizona ranks at the top of the league when it comes to hits with 9.29 per game this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top half at 14th with 8.31.
Arizona and Los Angeles both rank in the top 10 of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Arizona sits at seventh with an OPS of .741 and Los Angeles ranks sixth with an OPS of .749.
When the Dodgers allow at least one home run, they are 34-42. When the Diamondbacks allow one or more homers, they have a 34-62 record.