In the first of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (55-88) and the Washington Nationals (71-70) at Citizens Bank Park, Aaron Nola (6-2, 3.56 ERA) and Jordan Zimmermann (12-8, 3.32 ERA) get the start. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 14 and will air on CSPh and MAS2.
In his last start, Nola pitched 7.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out seven and walking one in a 5-0 victory over the Braves. The Nationals were unsuccessful to the Mets 8-7 the last time Zimmermann pitched. He went 5.2 innings, giving up one run, striking out six and walking one. Ryan Zimmerman (.249, 43 Rs, 16 HRs, 73 RBIs, 1 SB) has been doing well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Philadelphia, a +162 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Washington. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at eight runs. The Phillies have a losing record of 49-80 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -993. They are 1-7 as the underdog over their last 10 games. Philadelphia's pitchers are doing better against opposing batters during divisional games, only allowing an average of 4.6 runs per game, well under their season average of 5.2.
Across the field, the Nationals have a record of 58-44 when they are favored and are -1,689 overall with the money line. Against divisional rivals, they are 33-26 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 31-19 record. They sport the third-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Washington's pitching staff tends to perform well when they play division rivals. They've allowed an average of 3.4 runs per game against teams from the NL East, lower than their season average of 4.0. They also allow just 2.2 walks per game, best in the NL.
The Nationals have gotten the better of the Phillies in head-to-head matchups this season, going 8-5. The Phillies will take on a right-hander (Zimmermann) in this game and have a 42-69 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Nola will take the mound against the Nationals, who have a 53-54 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Was, O/U - Over
The Phillies currently sit below .500 against the NL East Division at 23-35, and the Nationals have a 33-26 record.
Philadelphia has won 41% (28-41) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Washington has won 52% (34-32) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Nationals are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Phillies have a 6-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 32-15. The Nationals have a 56-10 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 27th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 548 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 616.
Ranking 28th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 332 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 461.
The Phillies are 37-41 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Nationals are 54-35 when they hit at least one homer.