Logan Verrett (1-1, 3.06 ERA) and Justin Nicolino (3-3, 3.72 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the New York Mets (82-61) and the Miami Marlins (61-82) at Citi Field. The Mets come into this series hoping to extend a seven-game winning streak. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 14 and can be seen on FSFL and SNY.
Verrett pitched 1.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs and striking out two in a 6-4 defeat to the Red Sox. Curtis Granderson (.259, 87 Rs, 23 HRs, 64 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and three RBIs. Nicolino went 4.1 innings, surrendering five runs, striking out one and walking one in a 9-1 defeat to the Brewers in his last outing. Justin Bour (.256, 32 Rs, 16 HRs, 54 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
New York is a -177 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +1,538 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 63-24. New York is an impressive 6-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Mets have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.3 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.2 runs per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Mets, who have a team ERA of only 3.43. The Mets are the top team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.18 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Miami has a 36-53 record and an overall money line of -1,505. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 5-1 record, and an 8-2 record SU. The Marlins are an excellent base stealing team with 102 stolen bases, ranking fourth in the MLB. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Marlins are fifth in the NL with an average of 8.4 hits allowed per game.
The Mets lead the season series, 10-6. The Mets have a 64-48 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Nicolino takes the mound. Verrett (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 48-64 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets hold a 44-20 record in matchups against NL East rivals, while the Marlins currently sit at 25-35 in these games.
Miami has won 41% (29-42) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 60% (33-22) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Marlins are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Mets have a 12-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 43-20. The Mets have a 58-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th, Miami sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 525 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 614.
Ranking 28th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 333 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 433.
When the Mets hit at least one home run, they are 56-26. When the Marlins hit at least one homer, they have a 36-39 record.