James Shields (11-6, 3.90 ERA), attemping to pick up his 200th strikeout of the season, takes the hill for the San Diego Padres (67-76) as they square off against Jeremy Hellickson (9-8, 4.60 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (68-74) in the first of a three-game series at Chase Field. Action begins at 9:40 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 14 and can be seen on FSAZ and FSSD.
Hellickson pitched 5.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one run, striking out four and walking one in a 4-1 win over the Pirates. Paul Goldschmidt (.318, 88 Rs, 28 HRs, 99 RBIs, 21 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4. Shields went 6.0 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out six and walking four in an 11-4 win over the Rockies in his last outing.
Arizona is a slim -115 favorite at home against San Diego. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of -282 and a record as the favorite of 31-28. Arizona is an impressive 4-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have no trouble scoring as they lead the NL in offense with 4.5 runs per game. The Diamondbacks lead the NL in hits with an impressive 9.3 per game. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 119 bases. Arizona's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.5 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.4.
In games where it is the underdog, San Diego has a 31-45 record and an overall money line of -1,249. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-3 record, and a 3-7 record SU. The Padres have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.4 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Padres lead the season series, 7-6. The Diamondbacks have a 52-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Shields takes the mound. Hellickson (RHP) will be on the hill against the Padres, who have a 51-58 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Ari, O/U - Over
The Diamondbacks hold a 29-30 record this season against teams in the NL West Division. The Padres' record in these matchups is 29-31.
The Diamondbacks managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Padres who are coming in with a 24-12 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 9-55. The Diamondbacks have a 13-50 record when opponents outhit them.
Arizona and San Diego both rank in the bottom half of the league in home runs. Arizona sits at 18th with 134 home runs this season and San Diego ranks 19th with 133.
Arizona ranks at the top of the league when it comes to hits with 9.30 per game this season. San Diego ranks in the top half at 14th with 8.27.
Ranking 28th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.688). Arizona ranks in the top 10 at eighth with an OPS of .739.
When the Padres allow at least one home run, they are 36-55, well-matched with the Diamondbacks who are 34-63 when allowing at least one homer.