Tyler Duffey (2-1, 4.18 ERA) and Kyle Lobstein (3-7, 5.31 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Minnesota Twins (74-68) and the Detroit Tigers (65-77) at Target Field. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 14 and can be seen on FSDT and FSN.
Duffey pitched 6.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out eight and walking one in an 8-5 defeat to the Astros. Brian Dozier (.240, 94 Rs, 27 HRs, 70 RBIs, 11 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 5. Lobstein went 5.2 innings, surrendering five runs, striking out six and walking two in an 8-0 defeat to the Rays in his most recent start. J.D. Martinez (.285, 82 Rs, 36 HRs, 94 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Tigers, going 3 for 5 yesterday with three RBIs.
Minnesota is a -154 favorite against Detroit and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Twins have an overall money line of +2,135 and a record as the favorite of 16-11. Within its division, Minnesota has an 8-4 record as favorite and a 31-28 record SU. The Twins have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the AL in home offense with 4.8 runs per game. Minnesota's batters do not strike out very often at home, with only 7.0 per game. As for the pitchers, the Twins are the top team in the AL at limiting walks during home games, allowing only 2.2 walks per contest to their opponents this season.
In the other locker room, Detroit is coming in with an overall money line of -1,151 and a disappointing record of 30-47 as the underdog. Despite an underwhelming record as the underdog against teams in their division (12-17), they pulled off an impressive 32-25 SU record. The Tigers capitalize on their at-bats at a high percentage, leading the league with a .272 team batting average. The Tigers allow 5.1 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 7.0 runs per game during that span.
The Tigers lead the season series, 8-5. The Twins have a 25-23 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Lobstein takes the mound. Duffey (RHP) will be on the hill against the Tigers, who have a 45-61 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Det, O/U - Over
The Twins hold a 32-28 record this season against teams in the AL Central Division. The Tigers' record in these matchups is 33-26.
When leading after 7 innings, Minnesota is 25-24, while Detroit is 30-35.
The Tigers managed to give up seven walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Twins who are heading in with a 5-0 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Tigers are 54-18. The Twins have a 51-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Minnesota and Detroit both rank in the top half of the league in runs. Minnesota sits at 15th with 613 runs this season and Detroit ranks 12th with 617.
Ranking 22nd, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 369 this season. Detroit ranks in the bottom half at 19th with 393.
The Twins are 57-30 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Tigers are 48-34 when they hit at least one homer.