Kevin Gausman (2-6, 4.43 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (69-73) meet Eduardo Rodriguez (9-5, 4.05 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (68-74) in the first of a three-game division series at Camden Yards. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 14 and will air on NESN and MASN.
In his most recent outing, Gausman pitched 5.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out five and walking one in a 2-1 loss to the Yankees. Chris Davis (.263, 87 Rs, 42 HRs, 106 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs, one home run, and one RBI. The Red Sox were victorious the last time Rodriguez pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 7.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out seven and walking one in a 6-2 victory over the Phillies. David Ortiz (.275, 67 Rs, 34 HRs, 95 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well for the Red Sox, going 3 for 4 yesterday with two runs, two home runs, and four RBIs.
Baltimore is favored by a slight -111 margin in its matchup against Boston. The matchup currently has an eight-run Over/Under (O/U). When playing as the favorite, the Orioles have a 41-33 record and overall money line at -937. They have an SU record of 30-29 against teams in their division and a 15-10 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Orioles come into the game with the fifth-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Baltimore's pitching staff will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent struggles. The Orioles have given up an average of 6.8 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.2 runs per game.
On the other side, the Red Sox have a record of 29-35 when they are the underdog and are -1,034 overall with the money line. Against teams in their division, they are 24-34 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 12-17 record. Boston has been playing better lately, averaging 6.7 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.7. Boston's pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play division rivals. They've allowed an average of 5.4 runs per game against teams from the AL East, higher than their season average of 4.8.
The Orioles have gotten the best of the Red Sox in head-to-head matchups this season, going 9-4. This game will feature Rodriguez (LHP) on the mound against the Orioles, who have a 19-18 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The right-handed Gausman will take the mound against the Red Sox, who have a 49-53 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Bos, O/U - Over
The Orioles are 30-29 against their divisional rivals, while the Red Sox are 25-34 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, Baltimore is 25-24, while Boston is 33-36.
The Red Sox managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Orioles who are heading in with a 20-20 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 51-13. The Red Sox have a 54-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking seventh in runs, Baltimore has earned 632 this season. Boston ranks third with 662 runs.
Ranking 25th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 358 this season. Boston ranks in the top half at 15th with 414.
The Orioles are 62-39 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Red Sox are 52-42 when they hit at least one homer.