Josh Tomlin (5-2, 2.70 ERA) starts for the Cleveland Indians (73-74) as they square off against John Danks (7-12, 4.56 ERA) and the Chicago White Sox (70-77) in the last of a three-game series at Progressive Field. The White Sox won the last game 4-3 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 20 and can be seen on WGN and STOh.
Tomlin pitched 9.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs and striking out six in a 2-0 defeat to the Royals. Michael Brantley (.315, 68 Rs, 15 HRs, 83 RBIs, 14 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Danks went 7.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out six and walking three in an 8-7 defeat to the Athletics in his last outing. Adam Eaton (.279, 90 Rs, 13 HRs, 48 RBIs, 15 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Cleveland is a -168 favorite against Chicago and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Indians have an overall money line of -1,160 and a record as the favorite of 49-44. Cleveland has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 17-26 and 27-36 as the favorite and SU respectively. The Indians have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.5 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.2 runs per game. The Indians are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits at home with an impressive 9.2 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Indians, who have a team ERA of only 3.78. The Indians are the fourth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.20 so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Indians, who lead the AL in strikeouts per game with 8.8.
In games where it is the underdog, Chicago has a 36-43 record and an overall money line of -1,179. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games while playing as the underdog, and have a 4-6 SU record over the same span. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is fourth in the AL. The White Sox are tough outs for opponents, ranking third in the AL with 9.0 hits per road game. The White Sox allow 4.4 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.9 runs per game during that span.
The White Sox lead the season series, 10-8. The Indians have a 21-29 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Danks takes the mound. Tomlin (RHP) will be on the hill against the White Sox, who have a 53-61 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Cle, O/U - Over
The Indians hold a 27-37 record this season against teams in the AL Central Division. The White Sox's record in these matchups is 27-38.
When leading after 7 innings, Chicago is 32-29, while Cleveland is 25-25.
The White Sox are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Indians have a 9-18 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the White Sox are 55-13. The Indians have a 62-13 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 26th in runs, Chicago has earned 583 this season. Cleveland ranks 18th with 611 runs.
Ranking 26th, Chicago is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 365 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top five at fifth with 497.
When the Indians hit at least one home run, they are 54-29. When the White Sox hit at least one homer, they have a 43-40 record.