Tyler Duffey (3-1, 3.72 ERA) and Matt Shoemaker (7-9, 4.31 ERA) take the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Minnesota Twins (75-73) and the Los Angeles Angels (76-72) at Target Field. The Twins lost the last game 5-2, continuing a five-game losing streak. Los Angeles can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. Action begins at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 20 and can be seen on FSN and FSW.
Duffey pitched 6.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one run, striking out seven and walking two in a 7-1 win over the Tigers. Eddie Rosario (.271, 52 Rs, 10 HRs, 42 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Shoemaker went 7.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out five and walking two in a 6-2 win over the Athletics in his last outing. Albert Pujols (.239, 74 Rs, 35 HRs, 85 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run and two RBIs.
Minnesota is a -121 favorite against Los Angeles and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Twins have an overall money line of +1,854 and a record as the favorite of 17-15. Minnesota is a disappointing 1-4 as the favorite over its last 10 games. Minnesota's batters do not strike out very often at home, with only 7.0 per game. As for the pitchers, the Twins are the second-best team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.5 walks per game so far this season.
In the other locker room, Los Angeles is coming in with an overall money line of -237 and a disappointing record of 23-41 as the underdog. Los Angeles is excellent at not striking out with just 7.1 per game, ranking fifth in the AL. When it comes to issuing walks, the Angels have the fifth-fewest in the AL with an average of just 2.8 walks allowed per game.
The Angels have controlled the season series, 5-1. The Twins have a 48-46 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Shoemaker takes the mound. Duffey (RHP) will be on the hill against the Angels, who have a 53-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Min, O/U - Over
Minnesota has won 48% (26-28) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Los Angeles has won 62% (38-23) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Angels managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Twins who are heading in with a 29-11 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Twins are 15-61. The Angels have a 16-54 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 16th in home runs, Minnesota has hit 143 this season. Los Angeles ranks 11th with 157 home runs.
Minnesota and Los Angeles both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Minnesota sits at 13th with 8.41 hits per game and Los Angeles ranks 15th with 8.13.
Minnesota and Los Angeles both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Minnesota sits at 24th with an OPS of .706 and Los Angeles ranks 25th with an OPS of .696.
The Angels are 41-58 when they allow at least one home run. The Twins perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 40-55 record.