Julio Teheran (10-7, 4.34 ERA) and Aaron Nola (6-2, 4.11 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (59-90) and the Philadelphia Phillies (56-93) at Turner Field. The Phillies lost the last game 2-1, continuing a five-game losing streak. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 20 and can be seen on CSPh and FSSO.
Teheran pitched 5.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out seven and walking four in a 3-2 defeat to the Blue Jays. Freddie Freeman (.279, 57 Rs, 16 HRs, 58 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with two RBIs. Nola went 5.0 innings, surrendering six runs, striking out eight and walking one in an 8-7 defeat to the Nationals in his last outing. Ryan Howard (.229, 53 Rs, 23 HRs, 77 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Atlanta is a -150 favorite against Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Braves have an overall money line of -2,255 and a record as the favorite of 16-14. Atlanta is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 3-7 SU record in its last ten outings. Atlanta strikes out the least of any team in the NL, with only 6.9 per game.
As for their opponent, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -1,225 and a disappointing record of 50-84 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-7 record, and a 3-7 record SU.
The Braves lead the season series, 10-8. The Braves have a 47-70 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Nola takes the mound. Teheran (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have inferior records against right-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 16-37 and 43-72, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner - Atl, O/U - Under
The Phillies are struggling at 23-40 in their division, while the Braves sit at 29-37.
When leading after 7 innings, Philadelphia is 28-42, while Atlanta is 24-45.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Phillies are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Braves have a 22-2 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 10-65. The Phillies have an 18-71 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 30th in home runs, Atlanta has hit 88 this season. Philadelphia ranks 28th with 116 home runs.
Ranking 11th, Atlanta is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.43 per game. Philadelphia ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 8.51.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.672). Philadelphia ranks near the bottom at 29th with an OPS of .682.
The Phillies are 27-70 when they allow at least one home run. The Braves perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 24-67 record.