Stephen Strasburg (9-7, 3.98 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (77-71) go up against Brad Hand (4-7, 5.34 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (64-85) in the last of a four-game division series at Nationals Park. The Nationals won the last game 5-2 and Washington leads the series 2-1. The game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 20 and will air on FSFL and MASN.
In his last start, Strasburg pitched 8.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out 14 and walking one in a 4-0 victory over the Phillies. Ryan Zimmerman (.249, 43 Rs, 16 HRs, 73 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run. Justin Bour (.264, 35 Rs, 18 HRs, 62 RBIs) has been doing well offensively for the Marlins, going 3 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Washington is a considerable -261 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Nationals have a 63-45 record and overall money line at -1,347. They have performed well against their division to earn an SU record of 38-27 and a 36-20 record when they were the favorite. Whenever an NL East opponent shows up on the calendar, the Nationals pitch better. They allow an average of 4.0 runs per game, but allow just 3.4 against teams from their own division. The Nationals are the best in the NL in walks allowed, giving up just 2.2 per game.
Across the field, the Marlins have a record of 39-56 when they are the underdog and are -1,254 overall with the money line. Against divisional opponents, they are 28-37 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 17-21 record. Miami is a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in the MLB with 104 stolen bases. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the Miami pitchers. They've allowed 2.8 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 4.1.
The Nationals will take on a left-hander (Nicolino) in this game and have a 19-16 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Marlins will be the right-hander Strasburg. They sport a 51-67 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - Was, O/U - Over
The Nationals hold a 39-27 record this season against teams in the NL East Division. The Marlins' record in these matchups is 28-38.
The Nationals are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Marlins have a 21-41 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Nationals have a slight leg up on the Marlins, as the Nationals have won their last two games while the Marlins have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 46-21. The Nationals have a 60-10 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th in runs, Miami has earned 555 this season. Washington ranks fifth with 659 runs.
Ranking 29th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 345 this season. Washington ranks in the top five at fourth with 499.
The Nationals are 60-36 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Marlins are 39-40 when they hit at least one homer.