Matt Harvey (12-7, 2.88 ERA) and CC Sabathia (4-9, 4.93 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the New York Mets (84-64) and the New York Yankees (81-66) at Citi Field. The Yankees won the last game 5-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 8:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 20 and can be seen on ESPN.
Harvey pitched 5.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering seven runs, striking out six and walking two in an 8-7 defeat to the Nationals. Curtis Granderson (.257, 88 Rs, 23 HRs, 64 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. Sabathia went 6.2 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out six and walking two in a 4-1 defeat to the Rays in his most recent start.
New York is a -142 favorite against New York and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +1,289 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 66-27. New York is an impressive 7-3 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Mets have seen a decline in scoring against teams in the AL, averaging 3.4 runs per game. They average 4.2 runs per game on the season. As for the pitchers, the Mets are the second-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.18 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, New York has a 29-32 record and an overall money line of +169. New York is 1-4 as the underdog and 10-9 SU against interleague opponents. Offensively, the Yankees have really picked up the pace in interleague games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.8 runs per game by averaging 6.0 in those contests. The Yankees can change the game with one swing of the bat, ranking third in the league with 200 home runs. Moving on to New York's pitching staff and defense, the The Yankees allow just four runs per road game, ranking them fourth in the AL.
The Yankees lead the season series, 3-2. The Mets have a 17-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Sabathia takes the mound. Harvey (RHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have a 57-48 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
New York earned its fourth shutout of the season in its last game. New York has been shut out 13 times this season.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Mets are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Yankees have a 4-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Mets are 18-53. The Yankees have a 19-51 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 10th, the Mets are in the top 10 of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 161 this season. The Yankees rank in the top five at third with 200.
Ranking 13th, the Mets are in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.39 per game. The Yankees rank in the top 10 at eighth with 8.68.
Ranking 21st, the Mets are near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage (.714). The Yankees rank in the top five at third with an OPS of .750.
The Yankees are 40-52 when they allow at least one home run. The Mets perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 39-47 record.