Derek Holland (3-2, 3.77 ERA) and the Texas Rangers (80-68) go up against Felix Hernandez (17-9, 3.55 ERA) and the Seattle Mariners (72-77) in the last of a three-game division series at Globe Life Park in Arlington. The Rangers won the last game 10-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 3:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 20 and will air on RTNW and FSSW.
In his last start, Holland pitched 5.2 innings, allowing five runs, striking out one and walking two in a 6-5 loss to the Astros. Mitch Moreland (.280, 46 Rs, 21 HRs, 78 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI. The Mariners were unsuccessful the last time Hernandez pitched. He did not do well, pitching 7.0 innings, giving up four runs, striking out five and walking two in a 4-3 loss to the Angels. Nelson Cruz (.309, 83 Rs, 42 HRs, 88 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Texas is a small -113 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Rangers are 21-15 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +2,719. They have an SU record of 29-35 against teams in their division and a 9-7 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Rangers come into the game with the fifth-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Rangers rank third in the AL in hits at home with 9.3 per game. They have been very patient at the plate, ranking fourth in the AL with an average of 3.0 walks per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Mariners come into this game with a win percentage of .492 when playing as the underdog (30-31) and an overall money line of -1,327. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the underdog as of late. They managed a 3-1 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 6-4. Seattle is one of the top home-run-hitting teams in the league with 180 home runs. Seattle has an eye for the strike zone, ranking 3.0 in the AL with fifth walks per game. Seattle's pitching staff has allowed an average of 2.5 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 4.4.
The Mariners have mostly come out on top against the Rangers in their previous 18 games this season, earning an 11-7 record. The Rangers will take on a right-hander (Hernandez) in this game and have a 52-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Mariners will be the left-hander Holland. They sport a 21-27 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tex, O/U - Over
The Rangers are 30-35 against their divisional rivals, while the Mariners are 36-30 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, Texas is 33-33, while Seattle is 24-35.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Mariners are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Rangers have a 29-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 47-21. The Rangers have a 59-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd in runs, Seattle has earned 597 this season. Texas ranks fourth with 666 runs.
Ranking 13th, Seattle is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 438 this season. Texas ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 449.
The Rangers are 58-27 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Mariners are 61-45 when they hit at least one homer.