Kyle Hendricks (7-6, 4.22 ERA) and the Chicago Cubs (89-62) go up against Zach Davies (1-2, 6.00 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (63-88) in the last of a three-game division series at Wrigley Field. The Cubs won the last game 4-0 and Chicago leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 8:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 23 and will air on CSCh and FSWI.
In his most recent outing, Hendricks pitched 3.0 innings, giving up four runs and striking out five in a 9-6 loss to the Pirates. Kris Bryant (.278, 85 Rs, 26 HRs, 98 RBIs, 13 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. The Brewers were unsuccessful to the Reds 5-3 the last time Davies pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out four and walking four. Khris Davis (.244, 47 Rs, 23 HRs, 59 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Chicago is a considerable -225 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is presently unavailable. The Cubs have a winning record of 63-36 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +1,287. They have performed well against their division to earn an SU record of 38-27 and a 25-13 record when they were the favorite. The Cubs have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire NL, averaging 4.3 runs per game. The Cubs typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an NL-high 3.5 walks per game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Cubs don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking second in the league with a 1.18 WHIP. The have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, leading the NL with 8.8 strikeouts per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Brewers come into this game with a weak win percentage of .398 when playing as the underdog (37-56) and an overall money line of -2,319. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-7 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 1-9. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Milwaukee pitchers. They allowed 6.4 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 4.7.
The Cubs had the upper hand against the Brewers in their previous 15 games this season, earning an 11-4 record. The Cubs will take on a right-hander (Davies) in this game and have a 70-49 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the right-hander Hendricks. They sport a 44-68 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - ChC
The Cubs are 39-27 against their divisional rivals, while the Brewers are 28-40 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, Chicago is 36-24, while Milwaukee is 34-37.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Brewers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Cubs have an 18-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 10-68. The Cubs have a 17-44 record when opponents outhit them.
Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half of the league at 20th when it comes to home runs, hitting 138 this season. Chicago ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 165.
Ranking 14th, Chicago is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.31 per game. Milwaukee ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.66.
Ranking 22nd, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.711). Chicago ranks in the bottom half at 16th with an OPS of .727.
When the Brewers allow at least one home run, they are 36-64. When the Cubs allow one or more homers, they have a 42-41 record.