Marcus Stroman (2-0, 3.00 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (86-65) meet Ivan Nova (6-8, 5.11 ERA) and the New York Yankees (83-67) in the last of a three-game division series at the Rogers Centre. The Yankees won the last game 6-4 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 7:07 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 23 and will air on YES, RSN and ESPN.
In his last start, Stroman pitched 7.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out three and walking one in a 6-1 victory over the Red Sox. The Yankees were unsuccessful the last time Nova pitched. He struggled, going 1.2 innings, allowing six runs, striking out one and walking one in a 10-7 loss to the Blue Jays.
Toronto is a considerable -181 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. The Blue Jays perform well as a favorite with a 66-35 record and have an overall money line of +835. They have a 35-29 record SU and are 21-17 as favorite within their division. The Blue Jays have the most prolific offense in the entire AL, averaging 5.5 runs per game. The Blue Jays lead the majors in extra base hits with 509. They have been very patient at the plate, leading the AL with an average of 3.5 walks per game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Blue Jays don't give up many hits at home to opposing batters at the Rogers Centre, leading the AL with only 7.7 hits allowed per home game.
Switching gears, the Yankees come into this game with a win percentage of .476 when playing as the underdog (30-33) and an overall money line of +214. Against divisional foes, they are 36-31 SU and 14-16 as the underdog. When it comes to scoring, the Yankees haven't performed as well against teams from the AL East. During those games, they averaged four runs per game, below their 4.8 runs per game season average. New York is one of the top hitting teams in the league with 473 extra base hits.
The Blue Jays have mostly come out on top against the Yankees in their previous 18 games this season, earning a 12-6 record. The Blue Jays will take on a right-hander (Nova) in this game and have a 66-50 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Stroman will take the mound against the Yankees, who have a 58-48 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tor, O/U - Over
The Blue Jays hold a 35-30 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Yankees' record in these matchups is 37-31.
The Blue Jays managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Yankees who are coming in with a 34-8 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Blue Jays are 13-53. The Yankees have a 19-52 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking first in home runs, Toronto has hit 213 this season. New York ranks third with 205 home runs.
Ranking ninth, New York is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.64 per game. Toronto ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.03.
Toronto ranks at the top of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage of .792. New York ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .750.
The Yankees are 41-52 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Blue Jays are 49-46 when they allow at least one homer.