Bartolo Colon (14-12, 4.15 ERA) and Williams Perez (6-6, 5.16 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the New York Mets (85-66) and the Atlanta Braves (61-91) at Citi Field. The Braves won the last game 6-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 23 and can be seen on SPSO and SNY.
Colon pitched 5.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out two and walking one in a 6-0 defeat to the Marlins. Perez went 5.2 innings, surrendering one run, striking out six and walking one in a 2-1 win over the Phillies in his most recent start.
This one isn't expected to be close when New York, a substantial -225 favorite, takes on Atlanta. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently seven runs. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +1,234 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 67-28. New York has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 39-14 and 46-22 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Mets have seen an uptick in scoring against teams inside their division, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They average 4.2 runs per game on the season. As for the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Mets, who have a team ERA of only 3.49. The Mets are the top team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.18 so far this season.
As for their opponent, Atlanta is coming in with an overall money line of -2,155 and a disappointing record of 42-77 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-6 record, and a 4-6 record SU. Offensively, the Braves have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.5 runs per game by averaging 2.2 during that stretch. Atlanta is excellent at not striking out with an NL-low 6.9 per game.
The Mets lead the season series, 11-7. The Mets have a 68-50 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Perez takes the mound. Colon (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 49-70 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Under
The Mets hold a 46-23 record in matchups against NL East rivals, while the Braves currently sit at 31-38 in these games.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Braves have a 24-49 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 10-66. The Mets have an 18-55 record when opponents outhit them.
Atlanta ranks at the bottom of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 90 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 163.
New York and Atlanta both rank in the top half of the league in hits. New York sits at 12th with 8.38 hits per game and Atlanta ranks 11th with 8.40.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.671). New York ranks near the bottom at 21st with an OPS of .714.
When the Braves allow at least one home run, they are 25-68. When the Mets allow one or more homers, they have a 39-49 record.