Tanner Roark (4-6, 4.72 ERA) and Tyler Wilson (2-2, 3.72 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Washington Nationals (78-73) and the Baltimore Orioles (75-76) at Nationals Park. The Orioles won the last game 4-3 and Baltimore leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 4:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Sep. 24 and can be seen on MAS2, MASN and MLBN.

Roark pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering six runs and striking out four in a 6-4 defeat to the Marlins. Ryan Zimmerman (.249, 43 Rs, 16 HRs, 73 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run. Wilson went 4.1 innings, surrendering six runs, striking out one and walking two in an 8-6 defeat to the Rays in his most recent start. Chris Davis (.264, 93 Rs, 43 HRs, 110 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.

Washington is a -137 favorite against Baltimore and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Nationals have an overall money line of -1,286 and a record as the favorite of 65-46. Washington is an impressive 7-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Nationals have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.7 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.5 runs per game. Washington is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks at home, earning an average of 3.5 per game. Washington's pitchers fall apart when American League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 4.9 against AL teams, compared to its 4.0 season average. The Nationals are the top team in the NL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.2 walks per game so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Nationals, who rank fifth in the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.2.

In games where it is the underdog, Baltimore has a 30-41 record and an overall money line of -623. Baltimore has put in a mixed performance against National League opponents, coming in with a nice record SU ({betdsi.at.nl.su_record}) but quite a few losses as the underdog (2-4). The Orioles can change the game with one swing of the bat, ranking fourth in the league with 202 home runs. The Orioles allow 4.2 runs per game, but does better whenever an NL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 3.0 against teams from the NL.

The Orioles lead the season series, 3-2. The Nationals have a 59-56 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Wilson takes the mound. Roark (RHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 52-56 record against right-handed starting pitchers.

Predictions: SU Winner - Was, O/U - Over


The Orioles won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Nationals are 21-19. The Orioles are 23-25 in close games this season.

The Nationals are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 13 strikeouts. The Orioles have a record of 3-10 when they are struck out that many times or more.

It looks like the Orioles have a slight leg up on the Nationals, as the Orioles have won their last two games while the Nationals have lost their last two.

When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 56-13. The Nationals have a 61-10 record when outhitting opponents.

Ranking 10th in runs, Baltimore has earned 667 this season. Washington ranks fifth with 676 runs.

Ranking 25th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 380 this season. Washington ranks in the top five at fourth with 513.

The Nationals are 61-36 when they hit at least one home run. The Orioles perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 64-41 record.