In the last of a four-game series between the Boston Red Sox (72-79) and the Tampa Bay Rays (74-78) at Fenway Park, Wade Miley (11-10, 4.34 ERA) and Erasmo Ramirez (10-6, 3.70 ERA) take the mound. The Rays won the last game 6-2 and Tampa Bay leads the series 2-1. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Sep. 24 and will air on SUN and NESN.
In his last start, Miley pitched 6.2 innings, allowing two runs, striking out seven and walking five in a 7-6 loss to the Blue Jays. Mookie Betts (.293, 84 Rs, 15 HRs, 71 RBIs, 20 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 5 with one run and one stolen base. The Rays were unsuccessful to the Orioles 2-1 the last time Ramirez pitched. He went 7.0 innings, allowing two runs and striking out four. Steven Souza Jr. (.222, 52 Rs, 16 HRs, 38 RBIs, 12 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 4 for 5 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and one RBI.
Boston is a -118 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at nine runs. The Red Sox are 38-41 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -857. They have struggled as the favorite over their last 10 games, going 0-2.
Switching gears, the Rays come into this game with a win percentage of .481 when playing as the underdog (38-41) and an overall money line of -775. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the underdog as of late. They managed a 3-1 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 5-5. Tampa Bay is one of the top road hitting teams in the AL with an average of 9.0 hits per contest.
The Red Sox will take on a right-hander (Ramirez) in this game and have a 52-56 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Miley will take the mound against the Rays, who have a 27-20 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Bos, O/U - Under
The Red Sox are 29-39 against their divisional rivals, while the Rays are 33-36 against their division.
The Red Sox are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Rays have a 29-39 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Rays have a slight leg up on the Red Sox, as the Rays have won their last two games while the Red Sox have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 53-25. The Red Sox have a 57-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 27th, Tampa Bay sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 591 this season. Boston ranks in the top five at third with 701.
Ranking 19th, Tampa Bay is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 421 this season. Boston ranks in the top half at 14th with 448.
The Red Sox are 55-43 when they hit at least one home run. The Rays perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 56-42 record.