Michael Wacha (16-6, 3.08 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (96-56) square off against Taylor Jungmann (9-6, 3.31 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (64-88) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the first of a four-game series at Busch Stadium. Action begins at 7:15 p.m. ET on Thursday, Sep. 24 and can be seen on FSWI, FSMW and MLBN.
Wacha pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out seven and walking four in a 5-4 defeat to the Cubs. Matt Carpenter (.268, 93 Rs, 26 HRs, 81 RBIs, 3 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with two runs, two home runs, and four RBIs. Jungmann went 5.0 innings, surrendering five runs (one unearned), striking out four and walking one in a 9-7 defeat to the Reds in his last outing. Khris Davis (.244, 48 Rs, 23 HRs, 60 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
This one isn't expected to be close when St. Louis, a substantial -218 favorite, takes on Milwaukee. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently seven runs. The Cardinals have recorded an overall money line of +2,627 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 80-37. St. Louis is an impressive 6-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. St. Louis is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.1 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Cardinals, who have a team ERA of only 2.88.
In the other locker room, Milwaukee is coming in with an overall money line of -2,419 and a disappointing record of 37-57 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-7 record, and a 1-9 record SU. The Brewers allow 4.6 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.2 runs per game during that span.
The Cardinals have controlled the season series, 11-4. The Cardinals have a great 41-15 record at home (73-38 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Jungmann takes the mound. Wacha (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a 44-69 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - StL, O/U - Over
The Cardinals sit at 42-27 against their divisional rivals, while the Brewers are 29-40.
The Cardinals are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 10 runs. The Brewers have a 0-12 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 10-68. The Cardinals have a 24-39 record when opponents outhit them.
St. Louis ranks near the bottom of the league at 25th when it comes to home runs, hitting 129 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 138.
St. Louis and Milwaukee both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. St. Louis sits at eighth with 8.58 hits per game and Milwaukee ranks sixth with 8.62.
Ranking 23rd, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.710). St. Louis ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .718.
The Brewers are 37-64 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Cardinals are 41-40 when they allow at least one homer.