Madison Bumgarner (18-8, 2.84 ERA), seeking his 200th strikeout of the season, gets the ball for the San Francisco Giants (79-72) as they meet Ian Kennedy (8-15, 4.29 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (71-81) in the last of a three-game series at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 5-4 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 9:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Sep. 24 and will air on CSBy and FSSD.
In his last start, Kennedy pitched 6.0 innings, allowing three runs (one unearned), striking out five and walking one in a 7-4 loss to the Rockies. Matt Kemp (.265, 78 Rs, 23 HRs, 98 RBIs, 11 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run. The Giants were also unsuccessful the last time Bumgarner pitched. He pitched well, going 8.0 innings, allowing one, striking out seven and walking three in a 2-0 loss to the Diamondbacks.
San Diego, a +148 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against San Francisco. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at six runs. When playing as the underdog, the Padres have a 33-49 record and overall money line at -1,475. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the underdog (2-6). San Diego's pitching staff will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent struggles. The Padres have given up an average of 6.4 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.6 runs per game.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Giants come into this game with a win percentage of .590 when playing as the favorite (46-32) and an overall money line of +153. Against divisional foes, they are 35-32 SU and 15-18 as the favorite. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.4 runs per game, above their 4.3 season average. Switching gears to San Francisco's pitching staff, they average just 8.3 hits allowed per game, third-best in the NL.
The Giants have mostly come out on top against the Padres in their previous 18 games this season, earning an 11-7 record. This game will feature Bumgarner (LHP) on the mound against the Padres, who have a 16-19 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The right-handed Kennedy will take the mound against the Giants, who have a 61-51 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
The Padres are 33-36 against their divisional rivals, while the Giants are 35-33 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, San Francisco is 37-23, while San Diego is 38-39.
The Giants managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Padres who are heading in with a 14-6 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Padres are 54-17. The Giants have a 68-12 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 19th in runs, San Diego has earned 625 this season. San Francisco ranks 15th with 650 runs.
Ranking 23rd, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 393 this season. San Francisco ranks in the bottom half at 19th with 425.
The Padres are 50-36 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Giants are 55-26 when they hit at least one homer.