R.A. Dickey (10-11, 4.05 ERA) and Jake Odorizzi (8-8, 3.38 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (87-65) and the Tampa Bay Rays (75-78) at the Rogers Centre. Action begins at 7:07 p.m. ET on Friday, Sep. 25 and can be seen on SUN and RSN.
Dickey pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out three and walking one in a 7-6 defeat to the Red Sox. Josh Donaldson (.301, 117 Rs, 39 HRs, 120 RBIs, 6 SBs) had another good game Wednesday, going 3 for 4 with one run. Odorizzi went 5.2 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out three and walking two in a 7-6 defeat to the Orioles in his last outing. Logan Forsythe (.285, 69 Rs, 17 HRs, 66 RBIs, 9 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Rays, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Toronto is a -163 favorite against Tampa Bay and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Blue Jays have recorded an overall money line of +830 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 67-36. Within its division, Toronto has a 22-18 record as favorite and a 36-30 record SU. The Blue Jays lead the MLB in home runs with 214. Toronto leads the whole AL in walks, earning an average of 3.5 per game. As for the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Blue Jays, who have a team ERA of only 3.77. The Blue Jays are the fourth-best team in the AL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 8.4 hits per game so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Tampa Bay has a 38-41 record and an overall money line of -775. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 3-1 record, and a 5-5 record SU.
The Rays lead the season series, 8-5. The Blue Jays have a 67-51 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Odorizzi takes the mound. Dickey (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rays, who have a 47-58 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tor, O/U - Under
The Blue Jays are 36-30 against their divisional rivals, while the Rays are 34-36 against their division.
Tampa Bay has won 48% (30-32) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Toronto has won 61% (40-26) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Rays are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Blue Jays have a 14-16 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 54-25. The Blue Jays have a 70-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 833 this season. Tampa Bay ranks 27th with 595 runs.
Ranking 20th, Tampa Bay is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 422 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at third with 529.
When the Blue Jays hit at least one home run, they are 77-35. When the Rays hit at least one homer, they have a 57-42 record.